Caribbean Growth Outlook For 2026-2027

By NAN Business Editor

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Tues. Dec. 16, 2025: The outlook for Caribbean growth for 2026 and 2027 points to a widening divide between resource-driven growth and tourism-dependent economies, according to new projections from the UN Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, (ECLAC) and the World Bank.

ECLAC forecasts average growth of 8.2% for the Caribbean in 2026, largely driven by Guyana’s continued oil expansion. The World Bank projects 5.7% growth for the broader Caribbean economies. However, when Guyana is excluded, growth across the rest of the subregion is expected to slow sharply to approximately 1.7%, underscoring the region’s structural vulnerabilities.

Guyana is projected to remain the fastest-growing economy in the Caribbean, with the World Bank forecasting 15.7% GDP growth in 2026, fueled by sustained investment in hydrocarbons. By contrast, several tourism-dependent economies face more moderate or fragile trajectories. The Bahamas is expected to experience slower growth amid relatively stagnant stayover tourism, while Jamaica may face economic contraction in early 2026 following the impact of Hurricane Melissa on tourism and agriculture.

ECLAC

ECLAC warns that the region remains highly exposed to external shocks, including slower U.S. economic growth, rising energy and transportation costs, high public debt levels, and increasing climate-related risks. While service exports are expected to remain resilient, uncertainty in global trade, commodity price volatility, and delayed interest rate cuts by major central banks pose downside risks.

The outlook reinforces the need for Caribbean economies to diversify beyond tourism, strengthen resilience, and expand into higher-value sectors such as energy, logistics, food security, and digitally delivered services.

Projected GDP Growth Rates for Selected Caribbean Economies (2026–2027)

Ranked from Highest to Lowest (2026)

RankCountry2026 Growth (%)2027 Growth (%)1Guyana23.024.32Dominican Republic4.24.43Dominica3.42.84Grenada3.42.75Suriname3.33.56St. Vincent and the Grenadines2.92.77St. Lucia2.31.98Barbados2.01.79Jamaica1.71.610Trinidad and Tobago1.33.211Bahamas1.21.312Belize1.11.1

Source: World Bank

In the Caribbean, growth is forecast at 5.8% in 2026, led overwhelmingly by Guyana’s oil sector expansion. Excluding Guyana, regional growth is expected to slow to approximately 3.1% in 2026, highlighting the increasing divergence between resource-driven economies and tourism-dependent states.

Felicia J. Persaud, CEO of Invest Caribbean, reacting to the World Bank’s Global Economic forecast data, said: “The time to invest in the Caribbean is now – and the data clearly supports it. For too long, the region has been underestimated. The numbers show a Caribbean that is resilient, investable, and increasingly central to global growth and capital flows.”

Caribbean Competition – Weak Competition Is Holding Back Growth In The Caribbean And Latin America – IDB

By NAN Business Editor

News Americas, WASHINGTON, D.C., Mon. Dec. 15, 2025: Caribbean Competition is weak and holding back growth across the region as well as in Latin America, according to a new flagship report released by the Inter-American Development Bank, (IDB). The report, titled Markets for Development: Improving Lives through Competition, forms part of the IDB’s Development in the Americas series, which uses rigorous data and economic analysis to outline policy priorities to boost prosperity in the region.

Competition As A Driver of Growth

FLASHBACK – People travel by bus during a nationwide blackout in Santo Domingo on November 11, 2025. Santa Domingo found itself without electricity Tuesday as the Dominican Republic’s energy company announced a blackout of unspecified scope, caused by a “transmission system failure.” (Photo by Eddy Vittini / AFP) (Photo by EDDY VITTINI/AFP via Getty Images)

One of the report’s central findings is that markets in Latin America and the Caribbean are, on average, about four times more concentrated than those in advanced economies – meaning fewer dominant firms control larger portions of goods and services. This market power translates into higher markups, limited consumer choice, and slower productivity growth, according to the Bank.

If markets across the region operated with the same level of competitive intensity as in advanced economies, the IDB estimates per-capita output (GDP per person) could rise by about 11%, while income inequality might shrink by around 6%.

Strong competition is shown to benefit not only consumers through lower prices but also workers through higher real wages and expanded employment opportunities.

Business Environment Challenges

The report highlights several structural barriers that hinder competition, including:

Market Fragmentation: High logistics costs and poor connectivity within and between markets make it harder for firms to scale and compete.

Regulatory Complexity: Excessive or poorly designed regulations discourage new entrants and protect entrenched incumbents.

Weak Institutions: Many competition authorities in the region have limited resources or independence, reducing their ability to enforce fair market rules.

These conditions contribute to the so-called “missing middle” — a shortage of medium-sized enterprises that, in more competitive economies, help drive innovation and job creation.

Implications for Businesses and Consumers

For business leaders, the findings point to a pressing need for reforms that unlock competitive pressures:

Reducing red tape and simplifying market entry

Investing in infrastructure that lowers transaction costs

Strengthening antitrust enforcement and regulatory oversight

Lower market concentration could empower small and medium-sized firms to grow, broaden supply chains, and stimulate innovation across sectors such as telecommunications, banking, and health care.

Consumers in Latin America and the Caribbean currently face markups that are estimated to be higher than in advanced markets, while workers in many sectors see wages that reflect a weaker competitive environment.

Policy Priorities and Reforms

The IDB calls on governments to pursue reforms that balance regulation with competition enhancement. Priority areas include:

Modernizing competition laws

Investing in logistics and digital connectivity

Empowering competition agencies with greater independence

Streamlining business regulations to reduce barriers for new entrants

According to the report, countries that adopt such policies may attract more domestic and foreign investment, improve productivity, and create better-paying jobs.

A Roadmap For The Region’s Future

Although Latin America and the Caribbean have achieved macroeconomic stability in recent decades, long-term productivity growth has lagged behind global peers. The IDB report provides a data-driven blueprint focused on competition as a central engine for economic dynamism – offering a new lens for policymakers and business leaders seeking to unlock latent growth potential.

For markets across the hemisphere, encouraging fair competition is not just an economic ideal – it may be the most practical path to inclusive growth and heightened prosperity in the coming decade.

Islands On The Brink: Caribbean Leaders Demand A Fairer Climate Future After COP30

By Dr. Sheila Newton Moses

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Mon. Dec. 15, 2025: After COP30’s bold promises and polished declarations, the Caribbean has delivered a sobering reminder the world cannot ignore. Small island states sit on the frontlines of the climate crisis, yet remain among the last to access the resources meant to protect their Climate Future.

FLASHBACK – An aerial view shows damaged buildings in the aftermath of Hurricane Melissa, in Westmoreland, Jamaica, on October 31, 2025. At least 19 people in Jamaica have died as a result of Hurricane Melissa which devastated the island nation when it roared ashore this week, a government minister told news outlets late October 31. (Photo by RICARDO MAKYN/AFP via Getty Images)

On November 26, 2025, Island Innovation convened a high level virtual press briefing to examine what COP30 achieved and what it failed to deliver. The message from Caribbean leaders was unmistakable climate ambition without access is meaningless.

The panel brought together leaders from across the region and beyond, including Jamaica’s Minister of Water, Environment and Climate Change, the British Virgin Islands Permanent Secretary for Environment, senior climate finance experts, and international development practitioners. Together, they painted a picture of nations rich in resilience but constrained by global systems unfit for climate reality.

COP30’s headline pledge of 1.3 trillion dollars annually by 2035 was welcomed. Still, leaders stressed that money promised is not money received. Small island states face complex application processes, restrictive eligibility rules, and delays that undermine urgent action. For Overseas Countries and Territories, many of which are excluded entirely from major climate finance mechanisms, access remains elusive.

Dr. Mohammad Rafik Nagdee of CCREEE was clear governments with limited technical capacity cannot be expected to navigate funding systems designed for far larger economies. Without simplified and predictable pathways, climate finance becomes an illusion rather than a solution.

Jamaica’s experience after Hurricane Melissa illustrates the stakes. Losses exceeded 30 percent of GDP, wiping out years of progress in a single storm. While Jamaica benefitted from catastrophe bonds, insurance instruments, and national savings, most Caribbean nations lack these financial buffers. Without fair international support, extreme weather will continue to reverse development gains across the region.

The British Virgin Islands offered a model of climate leadership through the creation of the first Climate Change Trust Fund among Overseas Countries and Territories. Capitalized at approximately 5.5 million dollars, the Fund enables faster and more direct access to climate resources. It demonstrates that regional solutions can succeed when global systems fall short.

Yet, many territories remain excluded altogether. Mr. Ahab Downer of the Green Overseas GO Program warned that vulnerability is still not the primary criterion for climate support. His program strengthens energy transition and disaster preparedness across multiple territories, but technical assistance cannot replace systemic access to finance.

Leaders also emphasized the role of nature as critical infrastructure. Jamaica’s large scale mangrove restoration project protects coastlines, sustains fisheries, and stores carbon. In the Caribbean, ecosystems are not luxuries. They are defenses.

The Caribbean is not asking for charity. It is demanding justice. Island nations bear little responsibility for global emissions, yet pay the highest price. As climate impacts accelerate, delay becomes its own form of harm.

Island Innovation continues to elevate these voices through its Island Voices at COP platform. The call from the Caribbean is simple and urgent climate finance must be fair, accessible, and grounded in reality. Anything less leaves islands on the brink, and the world on notice.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Dr. Sheila Newton Moses is an international education consultant and thought leader on leadership, innovation, and human development in emerging economies.

China – Caribbean Policy: China Deepens Caribbean Engagement With New Policy Pledges

By NAN Business Editor

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Mon. Dec. 15, 2025: China has signaled a renewed and expanded commitment to the Caribbean with new China – Caribbean Policy, positioning small island states as strategic partners in its evolving Global South diplomacy, according to its newly released Policy Paper on Latin America and the Caribbean.

Chinese President Xi Jinping (L-2) speaks during a meeting with Dominica’s President Sylvanie Burton (R-2) at the Great Hall of the People on October 14, 2025 in Beijing, China. (Photo by Ichiro Banno – Pool/Getty Images)

While much global attention has focused on China’s ties with major Latin American economies, the policy document makes clear that Caribbean nations are central beneficiaries of Beijing’s long-term development, climate, and infrastructure agenda – particularly in areas where island states face acute vulnerability and capital constraints.

A Strategic Shift Toward Small Island States

China explicitly acknowledges the Caribbean’s unique status as Small Island Developing States, (SIDS), committing to tailor cooperation frameworks that reflect climate exposure, limited fiscal space, and reliance on external trade and tourism.

Rather than a one-size-fits-all approach, the policy outlines support mechanisms designed to accommodate smaller economies, including concessional financing, development assistance without political conditionality, and targeted infrastructure investment.

This positioning signals an effort by China to distinguish its engagement from traditional Western development models, which Caribbean leaders have often criticized as restrictive or slow-moving.

Climate Resilience and Disaster Response Take Center Stage

One of the most consequential pledges for the Caribbean lies in climate adaptation and disaster resilience.

China commits to expanded cooperation in:

Disaster prevention, early warning systems, and post-disaster reconstruction

Climate-resilient infrastructure

Coastal and marine ecosystem protection

Renewable energy development, including solar, wind, and hydropower

For hurricane-prone Caribbean states facing mounting reconstruction costs and insurance gaps, these pledges could translate into tangible relief if executed at scale.

China also signals openness to supporting Caribbean climate initiatives within global frameworks, reinforcing SIDS advocacy on climate finance and loss-and-damage mechanisms.

Infrastructure, Ports and Digital Connectivity

China’s policy reinforces its interest in Caribbean infrastructure — not only roads and utilities, but also ports, logistics, digital networks, and smart city development.

The document highlights cooperation in:

Transportation and port logistics

Telecommunications and digital infrastructure

Energy grids and water systems

Housing and urban development

For Caribbean economies seeking to modernize ports, reduce shipping costs, and improve regional connectivity, Chinese-backed infrastructure could play a transformative role – particularly where traditional financing remains limited.

Trade, Investment and Market Access

On the economic front, China pledges to expand trade with Caribbean nations, especially in:

Agricultural products

Specialty goods

Energy and resource-related exports

Beijing also encourages Caribbean participation in major Chinese trade expos and investment forums, offering potential market access for Caribbean exporters seeking diversification beyond North America and Europe.

Additionally, China expresses interest in expanding financial cooperation, including local currency settlements and partnerships with regional financial institutions – a move that could reduce foreign exchange pressures for Caribbean economies.

Education, Training and People-to-People Exchanges

China’s commitments extend beyond economics into human capital development.

The policy outlines:

Scholarships and training programs for Caribbean students and professionals

Cooperation in vocational education and digital skills

Media, cultural, and academic exchanges

Support for tourism cooperation and two-way travel facilitation

For Caribbean states grappling with skills shortages and youth unemployment, these programs may offer long-term workforce benefits.

Geo-political Implications for the Caribbean

China’s expanded engagement comes as Caribbean nations navigate a shifting global order, balancing longstanding ties with the United States and Europe while exploring South-South partnerships.

By emphasizing sovereignty, non-interference, and unconditional development assistance, China positions itself as an alternative partner at a time when Caribbean governments are seeking greater diplomatic and economic autonomy.

However, the scale and impact of these pledges will depend on implementation — a point regional analysts note will be critical in distinguishing policy ambition from practical outcomes.

What Comes Next

The policy paper signals intent, not timelines. For Caribbean governments, the next phase will involve translating these pledges into:

Project-level agreements

Financing structures

Transparent procurement frameworks

Sustainable debt management

If executed effectively, China’s commitments could reshape Caribbean development pathways over the next decade, particularly in climate resilience, infrastructure modernization, and economic diversification.

For now, the message from Beijing is clear: the Caribbean is no longer peripheral in China’s Global South strategy — it is firmly on the map.

Miss Jamaica Universe Back Home As Recovery Continues

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Mon. Dec. 15, 2025: Miss Jamaica Universe 2025, Dr. Gabrielle Henry, is back in Jamaica and is now receiving specialized medical care as she continues her recovery following a serious on-stage accident during the Miss Universe competition in Thailand.

Dr. Henry arrived in Jamaica on Thursday, Dec. 11th, under full medical escort from Bangkok, Thailand, with transportation and care coordinated and funded by the Miss Universe Organization. She had been hospitalized in Thailand after suffering a fall during the evening gown segment of the Miss Universe 2025 preliminary competition on November 19th at IMPACT Muang Thong Thani near Bangkok.

Miss Jamaica Universe fell off the stage at the pageant on Nov. 19, 2025.

According to a statement from the Miss Universe Jamaica Organization and Dr. Henry’s family, the fall resulted in an intracranial hemorrhage with loss of consciousness, a fracture, facial lacerations and other significant injuries. She required intensive care treatment in Bangkok and was unable to participate in the Miss Universe final on November 21st.

The Miss Universe Jamaica Organization confirmed that Dr. Henry continues to make encouraging progress and is expected to be discharged from hospital in the coming days, though she will require around-the-clock specialist supervision as her recovery continues.

Dr. Henry shared her optimism in a message released through the organization, stating that she is “eagerly looking forward to my return home and to seeing everyone in the near future.”

The organization expressed gratitude to the Miss Universe Organization for its unwavering support throughout the ordeal, noting that all medical and living expenses were fully covered and that Dr. Henry bears no responsibility for the incident. Special thanks were extended to Miss Universe President Raul Rocha Cantù, Mario Bucaro, and Maria Jose Unda for their hands-on assistance and constant communication during her hospitalization.

Additional appreciation was expressed to Vradda Rutnin, Honorary Jamaican Consul to Thailand; former Miss Universe Jamaica contestants Aisha and Emily Hall; and international photographer Ricardo St. Cyr for their support during Dr. Henry’s recovery abroad.

The Miss Universe Jamaica Organization also thanked the countless well-wishers in Jamaica and around the world for their prayers and messages of encouragement.

Before competing in Miss Universe, the 28-year-old ophthalmologist at the University Hospital of the West Indies was widely known for her advocacy in education and healthcare. She is the founder of the Her See Me Foundation, which provides educational and economic opportunities for people who are blind or visually impaired.

Organizers say they look forward to welcoming Dr. Henry and her family home and wish her continued healing and restoration as she recovers.

RELATED: Everything To Know About Miss Universe Jamaica 2025 – The Contestant, The Competition & The Viral Fall Seen Around The World

Caribbean Stars Ignite UBS Arena For ‘Jamaica Strong’ Hurricane Relief Concert

By NAN ET EDITOR

News Americas, NY, NY, Sun. Dec. 14, 2025: Some of the Caribbean’s biggest music stars brought fire, soul and unity to Long Island, NY on Friday night, Dec. 12, 2025, as the Jamaica Strong benefit concert transformed UBS Arena into a powerful show of solidarity for hurricane relief efforts.

Shaggy performs during the 2025 Jamaica Strong Benefit Concert at UBS Arena on December 12, 2025 in Elmont, New York. (Photo by Udo Salters Photography/Getty Images)

The four-hour fundraising event united reggae, dancehall and soca royalty to support communities devastated by Hurricane Melissa, the strongest storm to hit Jamaica in recorded history. Proceeds from ticket sales and in-arena donations went directly to the Jamaica Official Hurricane Relief & Recovery Fund, with fans around the world also tuning in via YouTube and Amazon livestreams.

Sean Paul performs during the 2025 Jamaica Strong Benefit Concert at UBS Arena on December 12, 2025 in Elmont, New York. (Photo by Udo Salters Photography/Getty Images)

Grammy-winning hitmakers Shaggy and Sean Paul delivered crowd-pleasing, career-spanning medleys, reminding audiences why they remain global ambassadors for Jamaican music. New-generation dancehall standout Teejay had the arena swaying to his breakout hit “Drift,” while reggae legends Marcia Griffiths and Gramps Morgan grounded the night with timeless soul and message-driven performances. Dancehall star I-Octane took things a step further, leaping into the crowd to connect directly with fans.

Kes performs during the 2025 Jamaica Strong Benefit Concert at UBS Arena on December 12, 2025 in Elmont, New York. (Photo by Udo Salters Photography/Getty Images)

As concertgoers filled the arena – which has hosted a string of Caribbean-led, million-dollar-grossing shows in 2025 – the atmosphere reflected more than entertainment. It was a collective act of rebuilding, resilience and regional pride, underscoring the Caribbean’s deep sense of unity in times of crisis.

T.O.K. performs during the 2025 Jamaica Strong Benefit Concert at UBS Arena on December 12, 2025 in Elmont, New York. (Photo by Udo Salters Photography/Getty Images)

First announced on Nov. 12, Jamaica Strong featured an expansive lineup including Chronic Law, T.O.K, Tessanne Chin, Aidonia, Inner Circle, Ky-Mani Marley, Yaksta, Richie Stephens, Mikey Spice, Abby Dallas, Kevin Downswell, Maxi Priest, DeMarco and more. Popular radio personalities DJ Roy, DJ Norie, Dubbmaster Chris and Dahved Levy shared hosting duties throughout the night.

Marcia Griffiths performs during the 2025 Jamaica Strong Benefit Concert at UBS Arena on December 12, 2025 in Elmont, New York. (Photo by Udo Salters Photography/Getty Images)

The emotional weight of the event was amplified by the context. On Oct. 28th, nearly 40 years after Hurricane Gilbert, Hurricane Melissa struck Jamaica with unprecedented force, leaving at least 45 people dead and entire communities displaced. The devastation galvanized artists to act quickly, using their platforms to rally support at home and across the diaspora.

Among the night’s most powerful moments was a moving in-memoriam tribute honoring recently departed Caribbean cultural icons, set to Jimmy Cliff’s “Many Rivers to Cross.” The show closed with every performer returning to the stage to sing “Jamaica, Land We Love,” a stirring finale that captured the spirit of national pride and collective healing.

The concert also served as a prelude to a second relief event, Nice Up Jamaica, led by Yellowman and Johnny Osbourne, scheduled for Tuesday, Dec. 16th.

From high-energy dancehall to roots reggae reverence, Jamaica Strong NYC, proved that when Jamaica hurts, its music -and its people – rise together.