Posts

Anguilla Secures New Domain Management Deal Amid AI Boom

News Americas, New York, NY, Fri. Oct. 18, 2024: The Caribbean British territory of Anguilla has taken another significant step in its digital evolution, signing a new agreement with the U.S.-based company Identity Digital on Oct. 15, 2024, to manage its highly coveted “.ai” Internet domain. This deal comes amid a global surge in demand for AI-related domains, as artificial intelligence continues to shape industries worldwide.

Anguilla, which has been responsible for the “.ai” domain since the 1990s, is seeing unprecedented revenue growth as companies flock to secure AI-themed web addresses. Despite the change in management, domain registration fees will remain stable, but Anguilla continues to benefit from payments when new “.ai” domains are registered or when expired ones are resold. Some of these domains have fetched tens of thousands of dollars on the market.

The artificial intelligence boom, sparked in part by the rise of popular technologies like ChatGPT, has brought a windfall to Anguilla. The island’s earnings from domain registrations soared to $32 million last year, quadrupling its previous revenue and now accounting for about 20% of the island’s government income. This marks a significant shift from the pre-AI era, when domain revenues made up only 5% of government funds.

Premier Ellis Webster expressed optimism about the financial boost but remained cautious about relying solely on domain-related income. “We can’t predict how long this will last,” Webster told the Associated Press, emphasizing the importance of diversifying the island’s economy to avoid potential future financial shortfalls. He noted that funds from domain sales have already been allocated to vital infrastructure projects, including the expansion of the airport, free healthcare for seniors, and the construction of a vocational training center at the local high school.

Identity Digital, which also manages Australia’s “.au” domain, will take over management of Anguilla’s domain services by early next year. This partnership is expected to enhance the security, resilience, and performance of the “.ai” domain, ensuring continued growth and minimizing risks from cybercriminals.

The global AI rush has dramatically increased the number of “.ai” domains, with more than 533,000 currently registered – a tenfold rise since 2018. This has positioned Anguilla at the center of the AI domain boom, even though the island itself has no significant AI industry. Still, Premier Webster is hopeful that Anguilla may one day develop into a hub for AI innovation.

Anguilla’s unique role in the AI-driven digital economy represents a significant opportunity for the island to diversify its economy, which traditionally relies on tourism. The income from domain sales not only supports infrastructure but also provides a financial buffer for hurricane recovery efforts and other emergency projects. As the International Monetary Fund noted earlier this year, these revenues help to make Anguilla more resilient to external shocks.

As the AI domain market continues to grow, Anguilla’s partnership with Identity Digital is expected to protect the integrity of its digital presence, reducing the risks of fraud and ensuring that the domain remains a valuable asset for both the island and the global AI community.

New Hotels Coming To The Caribbean In 2025 And Beyond

News Americas, New York, NY, Thursday, October 17, 2024: The Caribbean’s hotel market is booming, with several new resorts set to open in 2025 and beyond, reflecting strong investor interest in the region. According to the recent CBRE Global Hotel Investor Intentions Survey 2024, Canadian investors are particularly keen on high-end properties in Central America and the Caribbean, while Asia-Pacific investors favor upper-upscale investments. Here’s a look at some of the highly anticipated hotel openings across the Caribbean next year and in the coming years:

Cas en Bas, St. lucia. (Hyatt Hotels image)

2025 Openings:

Cas En Bas Beach Resort – St. Lucia
This luxury Hyatt resort will open in early 2025 on St. Lucia’s northern tip, nestled between two championship golf courses and a stunning white sand beach. It will offer residential-style studios and one- and two-bedroom suites, providing a secluded and elevated luxury experience.

Secrets Baby Beach Aruba
Set to be Hyatt’s first adults-only Inclusive Collection resort in Aruba, this property will open near the picturesque Baby Beach, blending architecture with the natural landscape for stunning views of the island.

Secrets St. Lucia Resort & Spa
Located near Rodney Bay Marina and offering panoramic views of St. Lucia’s volcanic beaches and mountains, this adults-only Hyatt resort will deliver a luxurious experience with easy access to the island’s top attractions.

Grand Hyatt Grand Cayman Hotel & Residences
Hyatt’s debut in the Cayman Islands will feature 351 guestrooms, studio suites, and residences along a seafront eco-walk celebrating the island’s diverse ecology.

Nikki Beach Resort & Spa – Antigua
Opening in partnership with White Sand Development Ltd., this will be the first Caribbean Nikki Beach resort, offering bungalows, beach villas, and luxury amenities like a spa, gym, and gourmet dining.

Unico Hotel 1877 – Jamaica
This 450-room luxury resort in Montego Bay will open in summer 2025, bringing Unico’s signature elevated hospitality experience to Jamaica.

Marriott Miches Beach – Dominican Republic
Opening as part of Marriott’s all-inclusive portfolio, this resort on a 62-acre beachfront site will feature 498 rooms, some with private swim-up pools, and offer an immersive tropical escape in Miches.

The Placencia Resort – Belize
Hyatt’s first hotel in Belize will join the Destination by Hyatt brand in late 2025. Following a $10 million renovation, the resort will feature 90 reimagined guestrooms, beachfront villas, and upgraded dining and leisure facilities.

RELATED: Unlock the Potential of Your Real Estate, Renewable Energy, or Other Business In The Caribbean or Central Or Latin American

2026 and Beyond:

Sonesta ES Suites – Dominican Republic
Sonesta will open five upscale, extended-stay hotels across the Dominican Republic starting with the Sonesta ES Suites Elements Jarabacoa in 2026, further expanding its presence in Latin America.

Garza Blanca Resort & Spa Miches – Dominican Republic
This luxurious all-inclusive resort, nestled amid palm groves on Playa Esmeralda beach, will open in late 2026, bringing Tafer’s award-winning hospitality to the Caribbean.

The Estate – St. Kitts & Nevis
Set to revolutionize luxury hospitality in the region, The Estate will feature four hotels and residences. The first phase will launch in 2026, offering world-class experiences in an exclusive Caribbean setting.

Pendry Barbados and Pendry Residences Barbados
Opening in 2026, this project will transform the Port Ferdinand Marina & Residences into an ultra-luxury resort with 74 oceanfront rooms and 46 private residences, complete with a marina, beach club, and spa.

One&Only Resort – Antigua
Slated to open in 2027, this resort will be set on a 132-acre site at Half Moon Bay, combining Antigua’s natural beauty with One&Only’s signature ultra-luxury experience.

Hilton Georgetown & DoubleTree Suites – Guyana
These two Hilton-branded properties will open in 2027, marking Hilton’s first foray into Guyana as part of its ongoing expansion across the Caribbean and Latin America.

Pinnacle Luxury Resort – Jamaica
This massive luxury residential resort in Jamaica, featuring four 28-story towers, will break ground in 2028, elevating the island’s luxury accommodations to new heights.

Baha Mar Resort Expansion – Bahamas
A $350 million expansion at Baha Mar will add a new 350-room luxury resort and 50 branded residences by 2029, boosting the resort’s capacity and further establishing it as a top luxury destination.

Vie L’Ven Resort & Residences – St. Maarten
This luxury project in St. Maarten will bring 280 units, including hotel rooms, suites, and private residences, to Indigo Bay by 2028, offering stunning ocean views and five-star amenities.

As these developments come to life, the Caribbean continues to position itself as a top destination for luxury travel, catering to discerning travelers from around the globe.

US Sanctions Surinamese Companies Over Alleged Iranian Oil Links

News Americas, New York, NY, October 16, 2024: The United States has imposed sanctions on three Surinamese companies- Strong Roots Provider, Glazing Future Management, and Engen Management – due to their alleged trade links with the Iranian oil sector.

The sanctions, announced by Washington, come after the U.S. imposed measures on companies involved in Iran’s oil industry following the country’s attack on Israel on October 1, when approximately 180 missiles were fired at the Jewish state. Sanctions were also applied to companies in India, Malaysia, and Hong Kong for reportedly facilitating the sale and transport of Iranian oil.

These sanctions fall under the Stop Harboring Iranian Petroleum Act, part of the Emergency Supplemental Appropriations for Fiscal Year 2024. The law targets foreign individuals and companies involved in the trade of oil and petroleum products from Iran and was delegated to the U.S. Departments of the Treasury and State for enforcement.

Washington stated that the three Surinamese companies function as commercial managers, arranging the transport of Iranian oil.

Suriname’s Foreign Affairs Minister, Albert Ramdin, said the government is gathering information on the matter. He added that while Suriname supports a peaceful resolution to the Middle East conflict, it does not take a position on the U.S. sanctions imposed on Iran. Ramdin noted, “This is a matter for the United States of America,” and that the affected companies would need to seek legal recourse in the U.S. if the sanctions impact their operations.

Authorities in Suriname confirmed that the companies are registered locally, but have not been approached by the firms regarding the sanctions. Ramdin said the government is investigating the operations of these companies, which media reports indicate are involved in maritime transport using ships that do not operate in Suriname but conduct business internationally.

“We want to know exactly what kind of goods are being shipped, where they are coming from, and where they are going,” Ramdin stated, adding that Suriname is working with U.S. authorities to obtain more information.

U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen said Washington “will not hesitate to take further measures to hold Iran accountable,” while National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan emphasized that the new sanctions aim to deprive Iran of financial resources that support its missile programs and terrorist groups.

Genting Americas Faces Lawsuit Over Alleged Fraud At Bahamas Resort

News Americas, New York, NY, Mon. Oct. 14, 2024: A civil lawsuit filed in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Florida today, Oct. 14th, accuses Genting’s U.S. arm, Genting Americas, of using Resorts World Bimini in the Bahamas as a “financial wasteland” to conceal fraudulent activities.

The lawsuit, filed by RAV Bahamas, alleges the resort has been used to artificially inflate profits and manipulate debt-to-equity ratios across Genting’s U.S. and international projects.

Resorts World Bimini, Bahamas

RAV Bahamas, owned by the Florida-based Capo family, initially purchased over 700 acres on North Bimini in the late 1990s with plans to create a bustling vacation destination. By 2011, they had developed Bimini Bay Resort, featuring villas, marinas, and recreational areas. In 2012, RAV partnered with Genting to expand the resort with a casino, forming a joint venture, BB Entertainment (BBE). RAV transferred 20 acres of land for the project, and Resorts World Bimini officially opened in 2013, boasting a 10,000-square-foot casino and a 305-room hotel.

However, RAV claims they have not received any profits from the venture, alleging that Genting Americas controls the finances and has burdened the company with over $885 million in debt. The lawsuit states that as of December 2022, BBE’s liabilities exceeded those of Genting Malaysia and its 150 subsidiaries combined. RAV accuses Genting of hiding the debt in consolidated statements through vague expense categories and obstructing their efforts to review financial records or conduct an independent audit.

The lawsuit further alleges that Genting’s complex corporate structure, with numerous subsidiaries, is designed to conceal financial improprieties. RAV is seeking $600 million in damages, claiming Genting’s actions have deliberately undermined their investment and ability to profit from the project.

Guyana Unveils Cash Grant And Free University Tuition As Part Of Major Economic Boosts

News Americas, New York, NY, Oct. 11, 2024: Guyanese households are set to receive a significant economic boost through several new initiatives announced by Guyana’s President Irfaan Ali, including a cash grant of nearly USD 1,000 and free university tuition starting in 2025.

Guyana President Irfaan Ali making the announcement. (DPI image)

Speaking at a special session of the National Assembly held at the Arthur Chung Conference Centre in Liliendaal on Thursday, October 10, Ali outlined the government’s plan to support every Guyanese household with a one-time cash grant of GY$200,000 (approximately USD 1,000). This includes tenants and “legitimate households” but excludes foreign nationals.

Ali also announced the return of free university tuition at the University of Guyana beginning in January 2025. This move is aimed at making higher education more accessible to all Guyanese citizens, helping to build a more educated workforce to meet the country’s growing economic demands.

In addition, Ali revealed that by the end of 2025, no public sector worker will earn less than GY$100,000 (USD 480) per month, ensuring wage improvements for thousands of workers. Families with children will also benefit from a GY$10,000 universal health care voucher for every citizen and a USD 50 per child income tax allowance, providing much-needed support to parents.

As part of efforts to enhance the country’s social security framework, Ali announced a GY$10 billion one-time injection into the National Insurance Scheme (NIS) to assist those facing challenges in receiving their entitled benefits.

On the energy front, the president vowed to cut electricity costs by 50% before the end of 2025, addressing a long-standing issue in a country where power outages are frequent.

Highlighting the nation’s digital transformation, Ali noted that Guyana has already emerged as a regional leader in rolling out 5G technology and laying fiber optic cables nationwide. The government also plans to establish a ‘Guyana Digital School’ to integrate artificial intelligence (AI) into the country’s economy, part of a broader push for digital modernization.

These sweeping measures are designed to ensure that every Guyanese citizen benefits from the country’s rapid economic growth, driven largely by the burgeoning oil and gas sector.

Hurricane Milton Set To Reshape Property Catastrophe Insurance Market

News Americas, New York, NY, October 9, 2024: Hurricane Milton, which caused widespread devastation in parts of Florida on Wednesday night, Oct. 10th, is predicted to reshape the future of the property catastrophe insurance market, according to industry experts.

After Hurricane Milton hit Florida, the city of Clearwater was flooded. Search and rescue operations are ongoing in the area. (Photo by Lokman Vural Elibol/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Chris McKeown, CEO of reinsurance ILS and innovation at Vantage Risk, believes the storm marks a significant moment for Florida’s already fragile insurance industry, which has faced premium spikes and insurer exits for years.

“This is an unprecedentedly large storm that defies many meteorological expectations,” McKeown stated at the ILS Bermuda Convergence 2024 Conference according to the Bermuda Royal Gazette reports. He explained that Hurricane Milton, which was at times classified as a Category 5 storm, will be a substantial event for both Florida residents and the state’s insurance industry. The hurricane, he added, underscores the increasing challenges facing insurers in covering losses as federal aid and underinsurance remain critical issues.

Capsized boats were seen at the marina after Hurricane Milton, in Punta Gorda, Florida on October 10, 2024. (Photo by CHANDAN KHANNA/AFP via Getty Images)

McKeown emphasized that early hurricane predictions have limited value for insurers, as they often arrive too late in the year to influence policy decisions. “Hurricane Milton is another reminder of the importance of securing sufficient capital to cover risk, and how unpredictable these events have become,” he said.

People walk in the water as the streets are flooded in the Southeast Seminole Heights section of Tampa due to Hurricane Milton on October 10, 2024 in Florida. (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)

Mosaic Insurance co-founder and co-CEO Mark Wheeler echoed these concerns, noting that the insurance industry is evolving to meet complex risks but faces challenges in staying relevant. “The industry is in good shape overall, but we must adapt to emerging risks like cyber and environmental disasters,” Wheeler said, pointing to the growing demand for niche insurance products and managing general agencies in the U.S.

Here’s What The World Bank Is Urging The Caribbean To Do

News Americas, New York, NY, October 9, 2024: The World Bank has urged Caribbean nations to capitalize on key opportunities and implement structural reforms to drive sustainable economic growth. In its latest report, “Taxing Wealth for Equity and Growth,” released on Oct. 9th, the World Bank emphasized that the region must focus on fiscal reforms, increase investments, and harness the potential of nearshoring to break out of its low-growth cycle.

William Maloney, the World Bank’s Chief Economist for Latin America and the Caribbean, stressed that the Caribbean must improve its fiscal space, reduce tax burdens on productive sectors, and attract investments by enhancing government efficacy. He also emphasized the importance of wealth taxes as a tool to create fiscal space and promote equity.

“The region has made strides in managing inflation and stabilizing its macroeconomic environment, but more is needed to boost growth. This is a critical moment to attract investments, foster innovation, and create more and better jobs,” said Carlos Felipe Jaramillo, World Bank Vice President for Latin America and the Caribbean.

Economic Growth for Selected Caribbean Nations – 2024-2026

Country2024 Growth (%)2025 Growth (%)2026 Growth (%)Barbados3.9%2.8%2.3%Belize4.3%1.2%0.5%Dominica4.6%4.2%3.2%Grenada3.2%4.7%4.4%Guyana43%12.3%15.7% (2028)Haiti-4.2%0.5%1.5%Jamaica0.8%2.2%1.6%St. Lucia3.4%2.6%2.3%St. Vincent and Grenadines5%3.5%2.9%Suriname2.9%3%3.1%Trinidad and Tobago2.2%2.3%0.9%

Key Recommendations from the World Bank Report

Wealth Taxes and Fiscal Space: The World Bank suggests that Caribbean nations should reconsider how tax systems can generate revenue while stimulating growth. Wealth taxes could be used to address income inequality and create fiscal space for investments.

Nearshoring Opportunities: Despite having competitive wages, the region has not fully capitalized on nearshoring opportunities due to high capital costs, weak education systems, and inadequate infrastructure.

Foreign Direct Investment: LAC has seen a decline in foreign direct investment levels, and the World Bank report notes that addressing infrastructure and social instability issues could help attract more investment.

With U.S. interest rates expected to decrease, the World Bank sees an opportunity for Caribbean economies to seize momentum and accelerate their development. However, this will require a concerted effort in governance and public investment reforms across the region.

Three Caribbean Islands Remain On EU Tax Haven Blacklist

News Americas, New York, NY, October 9, 2024: Three Caribbean territories, including one U.S. jurisdiction, remain on the European Union’s latest tax haven blacklist. The islands are Anguilla, Trinidad and Tobago, and the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI).

“The Council regrets that these jurisdictions are not yet cooperative on tax matters and invites them to improve their legal framework to resolve the identified issues,” stated the EU Council, which comprises the 27 member states of the European Union.

Trinidad and Tobago’s Finance Minister, Colm Imbert, recently urged the Opposition to support legislation aimed at addressing the country’s inclusion on the EU’s blacklist. On September 13, Imbert introduced the Miscellaneous Provisions (Global Forum) Bill 2024 in the House of Representatives. He emphasized the importance of adopting recommendations from the EU Global Facility on Anti-Money Laundering and Countering the Financing of Terrorism, which reviewed T&T’s tax transparency legislation in March.

“We risk not getting off the blacklist if we don’t accept the EU’s recommendations,” Imbert cautioned at the time.

Similarly, USVI Governor Albert Bryan has been advocating for the territory’s removal from the list since 2019, arguing that the blacklisting is unjust. Anguilla was added to the list in 2022 due to concerns that the island facilitates offshore structures without substantial economic activity.

On a positive note, Antigua and Barbuda was removed from the blacklist on October 8, following updates to its legal framework. The Global Forum has granted the country a supplementary review, with further evaluations pending.

The EU’s tax haven blacklist was established in 2017 after scandals like the Panama Papers heightened pressure on the EU to combat tax evasion. The list is updated biannually, with the next revision scheduled for February 2025.

What are the listing criteria?

To be considered cooperative for tax purposes, jurisdictions are screened on a number of criteria, established by the Council.

The criteria have been designed to evolve over time, so that they are aligned with international tax good governance standards, developed notably in forums of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) such as the Global Forum on transparency and exchange of information for tax purposes, the forum on harmful tax practices and the inclusive framework on base erosion and profit shifting.

The listing criteria relate to tax transparency, fair taxation and measures against base erosion and profit shifting (‘anti-BEPS measures’).

Victims of Robert Allen Stanford’s Ponzi Scheme Begin Recovering Losses

News Americas, New York, NY, October 8, 2024: Remember the infamous Robert Allen Stanford scheme that put Antigua & Barbuda in the global spotlight for all the wrong reasons? As Stanford serves a 110-year sentence in Florida’s Coleman II federal prison, victims of his company, Stanford Financial, are finally on the verge of recouping some of their losses.

Flashback – Convicted financier R. Allen Stanford, left, exits the Bob Casey Federal Courthouse in Houston, Texas, U.S., on Tuesday, March 6, 2012. Stanford was convicted of fraud in what prosecutors said was a $7 billion scheme involving bogus certificates of deposit sold by his Antigua-based bank. Photographer: Aaron M. Sprecher/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Stanford, a Texas financier, was convicted for orchestrating a $7 billion Ponzi scheme through Stanford International Bank Ltd., his offshore bank on the Caribbean island of Antigua. Now, 14 years later, progress is being made for the victims.

Ralph S. Janvey, the securities lawyer appointed as receiver in the case, is distributing significant payments following a settlement reached last year. So far, Janvey has returned approximately $609 million to former Stanford customers, with an additional $157 million ready for disbursement, adding to the $1.2 billion already set aside. While this is far short of the $4.9 billion in total claims owed to over 20,000 customers worldwide, it is more than many victims ever expected to recover.

Hedge funds and other investors in distressed assets have bought about $700 million in claims, according to Baker Botts, the law firm assisting Janvey. Victims like Annalisa Mendez, who lost $400,000, noted that many desperate people sold their claims to these funds for a fraction of their value. Others, like Jean Anne Mayhall, who held on to her $500,000 claim, expressed frustration at the long wait. Many victims, including Mayhall’s mother, sold their claims after years of delays, while some died before receiving any compensation.

Although there is no public list of hedge funds that bought the claims, firms such as Contrarian Capital, Whitebox Advisors, and Farallon Capital Management are believed to be among the largest purchasers. Hedge funds typically bought these claims at 14 to 17 cents on the dollar, with prices jumping to around 35 cents after the bank settlement announcement in early 2023.

Despite frustrations over the lengthy process, the market for claims remains active. Victims of other financial scandals, including the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange FTX and Bernie Madoff’s infamous Ponzi scheme, have similarly sold their claims. Recovery rates vary; in Madoff’s case, nearly 90% of investor losses were recovered thanks to aggressive federal prosecution and settlements with big banks.

In the Stanford case, Janvey and his legal team faced criticism from victims over the time it took and the high fees paid to lawyers, which have totaled $463 million over 15 years, with another $38 million expected soon. Victim advocate Angela Shaw Alexander described the fees as excessive, given the slow pace of restitution.

Janvey defended the process, noting that the Stanford fraud was vast and complex, requiring years of costly litigation. While federal authorities initially expected to recover at least $2 billion from Stanford’s bank in Antigua, only $63 million in cash and some assets like real estate and private equity investments were ultimately seized.

For Robert Allen Stanford, now 74 and prisoner number 35017-183, the earliest possible release date is March 13, 2103.

S&P Predicts Slower Growth for The Bahamas

News Americas, New York, NY, October 3, 2024: The Bahamas is projected to see slower economic growth in 2024, according to a new report by rating agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P). The agency affirmed The Bahamas’ B+ long-term credit ratings with a stable outlook, noting that the country’s economic growth will decelerate to 1.8 percent next year before stabilizing in the following years.

A view of the beach in Bimini, Bahamas on May 1, 2024. (Photo by Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

S&P highlighted The Bahamas’ recent economic recovery, which has helped reduce the fiscal deficit and contain the national debt. However, the agency warned that significant short-term debt and refinancing risks remain, with nearly 25.9 percent of the nation’s debt maturing within the next year. S&P expressed confidence in the government’s ability to manage this debt, noting the domestic market’s liquidity could absorb it.

The report also acknowledged the impact of global economic conditions, specifically the expected slowdown in the U.S., which is The Bahamas’ main tourism market. Despite this, S&P believes that successful implementation of energy policy reforms could bolster medium-term growth. The government’s energy reforms, which include modernizing infrastructure and diversifying energy sources toward solar and natural gas, are expected to result in long-term savings and increased efficiency.

S&P reaffirmed its short-term sovereign credit rating of ‘B’ for The Bahamas, noting that ongoing fiscal consolidation efforts will likely prevent significant increases in debt. However, the agency cautioned that the rating could be lowered if the government reverses fiscal progress or if there is a sharp decline in per capita income. Conversely, the rating could be upgraded if public finance reforms, such as the introduction of corporate income tax and improvements in state-owned enterprises (SOEs), are implemented more swiftly than expected.

Tourism remains the cornerstone of The Bahamas’ economy, with total arrivals reaching 9.6 million in 2023, significantly surpassing pre-pandemic levels. The new cruise terminal in Nassau, which opened in May 2023, played a key role in boosting these numbers. S&P pointed out that the tourism sector will continue to drive growth, while other sectors like financial services and fintech present opportunities for future expansion.

The agency also noted that The Bahamas is well-positioned to tap into its blue economy, particularly through carbon credits generated by its extensive mangroves and seagrass beds. These natural assets could provide a new revenue stream in the medium term.

S&P expects The Bahamas’ net debt to fall to around 70.3 percent of GDP by the end of 2024, down from 80.9 percent in 2020, though interest payments are projected to remain high, exceeding 15 percent of government revenues for at least the next three years.