Taking The Sign Out Of The Window – Mark Carney’s Illuminating Leadership: The Path For Middle Powers

 By Ron Cheong

News Americas, TORONTO, Canada, Sat. Jan. 24, 2026: There are moments in global affairs when a speech does more than fill a time slot. It draws a line. It clarifies the stakes. It names the reality that polite diplomacy often tries to soften with euphemisms. Prime Minister Mark Carney’s address at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, was one of those moments – brilliant not because it was flamboyant, but because it was uncommonly clear.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney delivers a speech at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting held in Davos, Switzerland on January 20, 2026. (Photo by Harun Ozalp/Anadolu via Getty Images)

In an era of strategic confusion – where too many leaders speak in foggy generalities, as if ambiguity itself were a form of wisdom – Carney spoke with the precision of someone who understands that history is not a backdrop. It is a force. And right now, history is moving again.

The Old Order Is Not Coming Back

The central insight of his remarks was as sobering as it was necessary: the old order is not returning. Not because we failed to wish hard enough, but because the conditions that sustained it have changed. The world is hardening into blocs, fortresses, and transactional power politics. In such a world, the countries that suffer most are not always the weakest states in absolute terms, but those in the middle – nations that built prosperity through stability, trade, law, and predictable rules.

Carney’s speech was, in effect, a call to these nations: stop waiting for someone else to restore yesterday’s international system. Stop acting as though compliance will buy safety. And above all, stop mistaking nostalgia for strategy.

Thucydides Returns: Power Without Apology

Thucydides saw this logic long before modern institutions, before treaties and summits and declarations. His cold aphorism remains the skeleton key to power politics: “The strong do what they can, and the weak suffer what they must.”

Faced with that grim truth, there is a strong temptation for countries to go along to get along – to accommodate, to avoid trouble, to hope that obedience will purchase protection.

But as Carney warned, it won’t.

This Isn’t A Passing Storm

What we are seeing is not merely about tariffs or territory or rhetoric. It is the return of a worldview: that might makes right, that alliances are optional, that agreements are disposable, that weakness is an invitation, and that smaller countries exist mainly to be leaned on.

This is not a temporary fever. Donald Trump has now been elected twice, and his support remains unwavering among at least a third of the American electorate despite everything that has transpired. That alone shatters the comforting fantasy that the “Trump era” was simply a passing disruption.

Even when Trump is gone, similar politicians – perhaps smoother, perhaps younger, perhaps even more disciplined – will move into the breach. The political demand for strongman certainty is not evaporating; it is being normalized.

The Task Of The Middle Powers

Carney’s Davos speech rejected the illusion that middle countries can survive by staying quiet and staying small. Instead, he offered a more demanding and more hopeful alternative: the middle powers must act together.

Because, as the blunt modern paraphrase puts it: if we’re not at the table, we’re on the menu.

This was the heart of his argument: multilateralism cannot survive on habit. It must be defended through action.

“Geometric Cooperation:” Alliances That Flex And Multiply

Carney described the need for a multilateral alliance built not as a single rigid bloc, but through “geometric” cooperationflexible, overlapping coalitions of middle powers working together across trade, security, energy, technology, climate resilience, and supply chains.

Not one alliance to rule them all, but a latticework of partnerships that makes coercion harder and cooperation easier.

This is not naive idealism. It is realism for a fractured world.

The Power Of The Powerless – And The Courage To Refuse

Carney’s argument carried the moral undertone of a powerful political idea from the late Cold War: the power of the powerless. Even those without tanks and empires possess leverage – if they coordinate, if they speak plainly, if they refuse to internalize the psychology of fear.

It is not powerlessness that destroys nations. It is resignation.

And resignation often begins quietly – with a sign in the window.

The Sign In The Window

In the communist world, one of the sharpest jokes about survival under dysfunction was the idea that the system endured with a sign in the window – something like: “Workers of the world unite” orWe have everything.” Or perhaps, more honestly: Pretend.

Pretend the shelves are full.
Pretend the numbers are real.
Pretend the system is working.

Carney’s message, in essence, was that middle powers must stop pretending.

Stop pretending the rules-based order will automatically repair itself.
Stop pretending bad faith actors will return to good faith.
Stop pretending silence today will spare you trouble tomorrow.

Trouble does not respect silence. It interprets it.

The New Strongman Script

What made the speech particularly striking was the contrast between Carney’s steady clarity and the carnival-mirror rhetoric now common in parts of global politics.

We hear punishment economics dressed up as patriotism: “Instead of raising taxes on domestic producers, we’re lowering them and raising tariffs on foreign nations to pay for the damage that they’ve caused.”

We hear oil-fueled triumphalism: “Every major oil company is coming in with us. It’s amazing. It’s a beautiful thing to say…”

And then there is the language of domination, spoken without embarrassment: “We probably won’t get anything unless I decide to use excessive strength and force where we would be, frankly, unstoppable.”

Or territorial appetite served with legalistic flourish: “All we’re asking for is to get Greenland… because you need the ownership to defend it. You can’t defend it on a lease.”

Even allies are not spared. Gratitude is demanded like tribute: “I watched their Prime Minister yesterday. He wasn’t so grateful… Canada lives because of the United States. Remember that Mark [Carney], the next time you make your statements.”

This is not diplomacy. It is a hierarchy, spoken aloud.

Canada’s Quiet Strength

Carney did not respond with panic, nor with theatrical outrage, nor with the weak comfort of “this too shall pass.” He responded with the calm firmness of a country that knows what it is, and what it stands for.

Canada Is A Pluralistic Society That Works.

Our public square is loud, diverse, and free.
Canadians remain committed to sustainability.
We are stable and reliable in a world that is anything but.
A partner that builds relationships for the long term.

Taking The Sign Out Of The Window

Then came the line that gave the speech its title-worthy force: we are taking the sign out of the window.

No more pretending the old order will return.
No more living off inherited stability.
No more hoping that compliance will buy safety.

The message was not defeatist – it was liberating. Because once you accept that the old order is gone, you can stop mourning and start building.

As Carney put it: We know the old order is not coming back. We shouldn’t mourn it. Nostalgia is not a strategy.” And then came the turn from realism to resolve: from fracture, we can build something “bigger, better, stronger, more just.”

Building The Table

This is the task of the middle powers: the countries with the most to lose from a world of fortresses, and the most to gain from genuine cooperation.

Davos has heard countless speeches about “shared values” and “global partnership.” Many were sincere. Some were hollow. Carney’s stood out because it treated the world as it is – not as we wish it were – and still insisted that agency remains.

Thucydides was right about the strong and the weak.
But Carney reminded us of the third category: the capable – nations strong enough to matter, if only they act together.

The middle powers do not need to beg for a seat at the table.
They need to build the table.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Ron Cheong, born in Guyana, is a community activist and dedicated volunteer with an extensive international background in banking. Now residing in Toronto, Canada, he is a fellow of the Institute of Canadian Bankers and holds a Bachelor of Science degree from the University of Toronto. His comments are his own and do not reflect those of News Americas or its parent company, ICN.

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What Now After Davos

By Dr. Isaac Newton

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Sat. Jan. 24, 2026: Davos is the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Switzerland, where political leaders, CEOs, central bankers, and global influencers gather to discuss where the world is headed. No binding decisions are made, but signals are sent. What is said there often shapes policies that later touch everyday lives.

This year, Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney used that stage to name a reality many already feel. He described the moment as “a rupture, not a transition,” warned that “the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must,” and reminded middle powers that “if we’re not at the table, we’re on the menu.” His message was simple and unsettling. Power is again setting the rules.

Saudi Arabia’s Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan (R) gestures next to World Trade Organization (WTO) Director-General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala during a session during the final day of the World Economic Forum (WEF) annual meeting in Davos on January 23, 2026. (Photo by Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP via Getty Images)

That shift does not stay in conference rooms. When large economies clash, prices rise at local markets. When alliances tighten or loosen, jobs and investments follow. Davos speeches still sound polished, but outcomes now track interest more than intent. Smaller states feel the squeeze first, caught between decisions made elsewhere and consequences felt at home. The language of cooperation remains familiar, yet pressure has become the quiet driver.

In this environment, influence comes from preparation. Policymakers need sharp priorities that guide every negotiation. Foreign ministries must focus on trade, debt, and security with technical skill, not ceremony. For ordinary citizens, foreign policy shows up in fuel costs, food supply, and internet access. Countries that plan well, coordinate internally, and act decisively earn respect even without size.

For African and Caribbean nations, the response must be practical. Work together to buy food and fuel at better prices. Enter debt talks as groups, not single voices. Strengthen local energy, agriculture, and digital systems to soften global shocks. Keep partnerships balanced so no one relationship defines the future. In a world where order feels uncertain, clarity and cooperation remain powerful tools.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Dr. Isaac Newton is an international strategist trained at Harvard, Princeton, and Columbia. He advises governments and global institutions on governance and development, helping leaders turn ideas into practical and lasting results.

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Rethinking Foreign Policy – The Case for Tech Diplomacy

By Deodat Maharaj

News Americas, Gebze, Türkiye, Fri. Jan. 23, 2026: The drivers of economic growth, innovation, and societal change are no longer solely wealthy nation-states and global institutional actors, but increasingly the technology companies. The so-called “Magnificent Seven”-Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Meta, Tesla, and Alphabet (Google) – now dominate the global economy, redefining traditional thinking of economic power and influence. By the end of 2025, these seven companies had an estimated market value of US$22.2 trillion.

U.S. President Donald Trump (R) speaks to Apple CEO Tim Cook (L) as he attends a reception for business leaders at the World Economic Forum (WEF) Annual Meeting on January 21, 2026 in Davos, Switzerland. The annual meeting of political and business leaders comes amid rising tensions between the United States and Europe over a range of issues, including Trump’s vow to acquire Greenland, a semi-autonomous Danish territory. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

NVIDIA alone stood at US$5 trillion. This is more than Japan’s GDP, the world’s third-largest economy, which is US$4.4 trillion according to the International Monetary Fund. In terms of global reach, Meta, formerly Facebook, has more than 3 billion users. Over 2 billion people use it every day.  

This concentration of wealth has profound implications. Breakthrough technologies – artificial intelligence, cloud computing, digital platforms – are reshaping industries, creating new value chains, and generating immense opportunities. Yet, most developing countries, especially the Least Developed Countries, (LDCs), are being left out.

The scale of this digital divide reveals a critical gap: the world’s poor, small, and vulnerable countries are not just lagging in access to technology; they lack meaningful influence in how these technologies are governed, deployed, and regulated. Their exclusion from the emerging architecture for global technology governance will only deepen the already stark divide between rich and poor countries.

Addressing this imbalance requires innovative approaches. Traditional diplomacy and development strategies, while indispensable, are no longer sufficient on their own. To truly harness frontier technologies and ensure their people benefit from global innovation, technology must be an integral part of the diplomatic arsenal of any developing country. Tech diplomacy represents a holistic framework that integrates technology engagement, governance, and investment directly into a country’s foreign policy thrust.

Some countries have already embraced Tech Diplomacy.  Denmark was the first to formally recognize the technology industry as a foreign policy priority in 2017. By appointing a dedicated Tech Ambassador, it acknowledged that engagement with major technology companies requires the same diplomatic attention and strategic seriousness as with traditional state and multilateral actors.  

Brazil, through the appointment of a Tech Ambassador and the creation of more than 70 technology-focused sections across its embassies worldwide, has built a global network designed to facilitate technology transfer, attract investment, and strengthen international innovation cooperation.

Kenya offers a great African example. Through initiatives such as the TechPlomacy Connective and the appointment of a Special Envoy on Technology, Kenya has positioned itself as an active participant in global AI and digital governance. This approach has secured Kenya a leadership role in key international technology fora and enabled direct engagement with both global technology companies and multilateral institutions. Kenya’s example underscores how developing countries can shape technological change rather than simply respond to it.

So, what are the lessons learnt and a reasonable approach for developing countries, especially the 44 LDCs and capacity-constrained island states like those in the Caribbean and Pacific?

To start with, there must be a clear recognition of the importance of integrating Tech Diplomacy in the existing foreign policy architecture with a dedicated focal point and team. This facilitates participation in global technology governance, and ensures meaningful engagement on the standards, norms, and regulatory frameworks that shape emerging technologies. Without their presence at the table, the rules governing artificial intelligence, cross-border data flows, digital platforms, and digital trade will continue to be defined primarily by those who already hold economic and technological power. This will further entrench existing inequalities.

Second, engagement with technology companies is essential. Governments need structured, sustained, and strategic dialogue with global tech firms. Such engagement allows countries to build trust; co-design solutions tailored to local needs; and leverage innovation in support of national development priorities. Most importantly, getting information at the earliest will help place you at the front of the line in accessing opportunities.

Third, investment in digital futures must go beyond basic connectivity. Developing countries, including LDCs, require targeted investment in digital infrastructure, human capital, and innovation ecosystems. In a challenging financial environment, the technology companies have the requisite financing. Here again, Tech Diplomacy can help. With a forensic focus on making investment cases to businesses in the technology and innovation space, countries can create jobs, stimulate entrepreneurship, and begin to effectively compete in the global digital economy. India is a great example of success in attracting massive private investments in this space.

In summary, a world where technological leadership is becoming a defining factor of economic and geopolitical influence, poor, small, and weak countries need to lift their game by recognising this reality and becoming active participants. Tech Diplomacy, once leveraged effectively, gives these countries and their people the chance they deserve.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Deodat Maharaj is a national of Trinidad and Tobago and is presently the Managing Director of the United Nations Technology Bank for the Least Developed Countries. He can be contacted at: deodat.maharaj@un.org

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Against The Odds: A Guyana Born Centenarian And Current Health Care

By Ron Cheong

News Americas, TORONTO, Canada, Fri. Jan. 23, 2026: Giving birth in a developing nation a hundred years ago was an act of quiet bravery. In British Guiana in the 1920s, childbirth carried an ever-present risk: infant mortality stood at a staggering 159 deaths per 1,000 live births. Mothers laboured without modern diagnostics, antibiotics, blood banks, or neonatal care. Survival often depended on little more than resilience, luck, and the skill of a handful of dedicated doctors. Against those odds, my aunt Pauline (Irma) Persaud was born and survived, along with three of her siblings.

Guyana-born Centenarian Pauline (Irma) Persaud, c. (contributed image)

This week, she reached the extraordinary age of 100. Frail in body now, her mind remains remarkably sharp. Even in her late nineties, she could correct me when I misremembered a family detail. At 100, her mental clarity endures, though the energy to converse has understandably waned.

Yet, when I asked her what she could recall of her earliest years, she surprised me. She believes the attending physician at her birth was Dr. Bissessar. She remembers him fondly, especially an image that has stayed with her for nearly a century: the doctor placing her younger sister – my mother – on a swing and gently rocking her. My mother, she said, adored him.

What my aunt did not know is that Dr. Bissessar’s grandson and I have been lifelong close friends. For decades, neither of us was aware of this earlier connection. It is a coincidence that quietly bridges generations – one life, one family, and one country’s long arc of medical progress.

A Century Later: Measuring The Distance Traveled

Fast-forward to 2025. Guyana’s infant mortality rate stands at approximately 24 deaths per 1,000 live births. While still higher than in developed countries, the difference from a century ago is profound. Behind that single statistic lies improved antenatal care, trained midwives, vaccination programs, emergency obstetric services, and access – however uneven – to modern medical facilities.

Healthcare progress, of course, is never linear. Guyana’s system has experienced periods of neglect, underinvestment, and uneven leadership. But the past five years mark a notable inflection point.

Rebuilding The Foundations: Infrastructure And Access

One of the most visible changes has been the rapid expansion of healthcare infrastructure. Several new regional hospitals have been brought on stream or advanced significantly, including facilities in Kato, Lethem, and Moruca – areas long underserved due to geography and historical neglect. These are not symbolic projects; they are functional hospitals intended to reduce the need for dangerous and costly medical travel.

In communities such as Mahdia, improved health facilities have dramatically improved access to primary and emergency care. Across the country, dozens of health posts and clinics have been built or rehabilitated, bringing services closer to hinterland and rural populations where outcomes were once predictably poor.

For a nation still grappling with vast distances and uneven population distribution, bricks and mortar matter. But buildings alone are not enough.

Leadership And Stewardship: A Stark Contrast

Under the stewardship of Minister of Health Dr. Frank Anthony, the health sector has demonstrated coherence, urgency, and a clear sense of direction. This stands in sharp contrast to the dismal performance under a previous administration.

That earlier period was marked by shortages, industrial unrest, deteriorating facilities, and a worrying absence of strategic planning. Morale among healthcare workers sank, and public confidence eroded. The system did not merely stagnate – it regressed.

Dr. Anthony’s return to the ministry brought immediate stabilization and a longer-term reform agenda. Procurement improved, staffing challenges were addressed more systematically, and partnerships that had long been discussed but never realized were finally activated.

COVID-19: A Defining Stress Test

Nothing tested Guyana’s healthcare leadership more severely than the Covid-19 pandemic. The contrast between administrations could not have been clearer.

Dr. Anthony’s response was swift, science-driven, and largely transparent. Guyana moved quickly to secure vaccines, expand testing capacity, and communicate public-health guidance. Mistakes were inevitable, but course corrections were made.

Covid exposed weaknesses everywhere, but it also demonstrated what competent leadership could achieve under pressure.

Vision 2030: Leapfrogging Into Modern Care

Today’s reforms are framed within a broader national blueprint: Vision 2030. The ambition is unapologetically bold: to transform Guyana’s public health system into a modern, accessible, and resilient one.

Central to this vision is “leapfrogging”: using digital health tools and targeted investments to bypass outdated systems entirely. Initiatives include electronic health records, telemedicine for hinterland communities, and dramatically faster diagnostics. The national pathology laboratory, for example, has reduced test turnaround times from months to days – a change that saves lives quietly but decisively.

Partnerships underpin this effort. Collaborations with Mount Sinai, the World Bank, and others are helping modernize infrastructure, train healthcare workers, and strengthen pandemic preparedness through a “One Health” approach that integrates human, animal, and environmental health.

Maternal and child health, cancer care, and workforce development are explicit priorities. Immunization rates have improved significantly, malaria cases have fallen sharply, and diagnostic capacity has expanded nationwide.

One Life, One Century, One Measure Of Progress

My aunt was born into a world where survival itself was uncertain. That she reached adulthood -let alone 100 – is a testament to personal resilience and the quiet dedication of doctors like Dr. Bissessar, working with limited tools but immense commitment.

Her life also offers a human measure of national progress. From an era when infant death was tragically common to one where modern healthcare is increasingly expected, Guyana has traveled far, but there is more to do – the work continues, and my aunt continues to be an inspiration.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Ron Cheong, born in Guyana, is a community activist and dedicated volunteer with an extensive international background in banking. Now residing in Toronto, Canada, he is a fellow of the Institute of Canadian Bankers and holds a Bachelor of Science degree from the University of Toronto. His comments are his own and do not reflect those of News Americas or its parent company, ICN.

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The Mahogany That Built Britain And Bankrupted the Caribbean

By Nyan Reynolds

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Fri. Jan. 22, 2026: Walk into any Britain manor house built in the eighteenth century, and your eyes will almost inevitably find it. Along the doors, curling up the stair rails, lining the walls, and framing mirrors, a deep reddish-brown glow catches the light. Mahogany!

The Countess’ Bedroom at Florence Court. The view shows the mid eighteenth century Irish four poster mahogany bed with the Queen Anne chest at the end & a chest of drawers by the side.

For Britain’s elite, it was never just wood. It was a symbol of wealth, power, and permanence. Yet the story behind that polished glow is far more complicated, and far more devastating, than the walls of any country house can reveal.

Mahogany did not simply arrive in Britain. It was cut from forests in Jamaica and Haiti, from landscapes where people would never see the true value of what was taken from beneath their feet. These places are now regularly described as developing nations. Yet for generations they supplied some of the finest hardwood in the world, only to watch that resource leave their shores and enrich distant markets.

This is a chapter of Caribbean history that rarely appears in schoolbooks. It should.

The Wood that changed British Rooms

Before Caribbean mahogany entered British workshops in any serious quantity, furniture makers relied on oak, walnut, and pine.

Oak had dominated for centuries. It was strong, familiar, and durable, but it carried a heavy and somewhat muted appearance. Walnut rose in fashion toward the end of the seventeenth century. It offered a more attractive grain, but it could split and was vulnerable to insects. Pine was plentiful and cheap. It was often used for hidden structures or for less expensive furniture, but it lacked the prestige needed for elite interiors.

Mahogany transformed that craft world. The West Indian species described by botanists at the Royal Botanic Gardens in Kew combined strength with beauty. It resisted rot, worked smoothly under tools, and could be polished to a deep glow that looked almost like still water. It was tough enough for shipbuilding and yet refined enough for the finest drawing rooms.

The turning point came in the early seventeen hundreds, when captured Spanish ships brought mahogany planks into British hands. Shipbuilders noticed how well the timber withstood saltwater. Cabinetmakers noticed how stunning it looked indoors. Within a few decades mahogany was no longer a novelty material. It had become the preferred wood of the British upper class and an essential part of Georgian taste.

Britain’s Hunger for Timber and the Turn to the Caribbean

Mahogany’s rise cannot be separated from a wider imperial strategy.

By the early eighteenth century, Britain’s forests were under intense pressure from shipbuilding, construction, and iron production. The island simply could not provide all the timber a growing empire demanded. Parliament answered that problem by looking outward.

In seventeen twenty-one the Naval Stores Act removed import duties on timber and other materials coming from the colonies. That incentive encouraged merchants and shipbuilders to look west rather than toward European forests. Colonial hardwoods became strategic resources, and mahogany quickly moved to the center of this new supply system.

A few decades later, the Free Ports Act of seventeen sixty-six opened select Jamaican harbors to foreign ships, including French traders from Saint Domingue, present day Haiti. This legal change allowed timber from non-British colonies to pass through Jamaican ports and then on to Britain. On paper this looked like commercial flexibility. In practice it deepened Jamaica’s role as a processing and redistribution hub for West Indian hardwoods rather than a place where that wealth stayed and multiplied.

Jamaica and Haiti at the Center of the Trade

By the middle of the eighteenth-century Jamaica had become the most important supplier of mahogany to Britain.

Customs data examined by furniture historian Adam Bowett show that between seventeen sixty-four and seventeen seventy-four Jamaica provided more than ninety percent of Britain’s recorded West Indian mahogany imports. In some years the share was even higher.

Behind those figures was relentless and dangerous labor. Logging crews made up largely of enslaved Africans cut enormous mahogany trees that had taken centuries to grow. They dragged logs that could stretch twenty feet and weigh several tons through dense forest, often with the help of oxen. In interior regions they were forced to build rough roads simply to move the timber to rivers or coastal inlets. From there the logs were floated or hauled to ports such as Kingston and Montego Bay, where they were loaded onto ships bound for the Atlantic crossing.

Haiti, then the French colony of Saint Domingue, entered the British mahogany system in a more indirect way. The Free Ports Act permitted mahogany from Hispaniola to be shipped into Jamaica and then re-exported. As historian Neville Hall has noted, by the seventeen eighties a significant share of the timber listed in British records as Jamaican actually originated elsewhere in the Caribbean and simply passed through these free ports.

The ledgers suggest a single source. The reality was a wider Caribbean of extraction.

The Numbers that Reveal the Scale

The trade in mahogany was not a minor sideline. It was huge.

British customs records and Bowett’s research reveal a dramatic rise in imports.

In seventeen twenty-four Britain brought in a little over one hundred and fifty tons of mahogany. In seventeen twenty-five that figure had nearly tripled to more than four hundred tons. By the late seventeen eighties annual imports were measured in many tens of thousands of tons. Between seventeen eighty-four and seventeen ninety Britain imported more than one hundred twenty-four thousand tons of mahogany. In seventeen eighty-five alone more than ten thousand tons came from Jamaica.

Prices rose along with demand. In the seventeen thirties London prices averaged only a few pence per foot. By the middle of the century, they had roughly doubled. Around eighteen hundred the finest logs could command about two shillings per foot, an increase of several times the original price in less than a human lifetime.

Even after paying for freight and insurance, merchants made handsome profits. Freight typically added a small amount per foot, and marine insurance in peacetime ran only a few percent of the cargo’s value, although it spiked during war. Once those costs were covered, the profit margin on prized hardwood remained high.

Translated into present terms, Britain was importing timber worth the equivalent of millions of pounds each year. Much of it came from Jamaica and through Jamaica from Haiti and other islands.

Chart 1 – British Mahogany Imports: Jamaica vs Total (1724–1790)

Resource stripping and ecological loss

The ecological cost became visible even to observers within the colonial system.

By the seventeen sixties, planter and historian Edward Long was already warning that easily accessible coastal mahogany in Jamaica had been exhausted. Loggers had to push further and further inland. That meant greater labor costs, more roads cut through forest interiors, and more disruption of soils and watersheds. What had once been large continuous forest became scattered stands separated by clearings, paths, and erosion.

In Haiti the story continued into the nineteenth century under a new and cruel pressure. After the Haitian Revolution and independence in eighteen hundred and four, France forced the new Black republic to accept an independence debt in eighteen twenty-five under threat of renewed war. To service this obligation Haiti expanded exports of timber and other cash commodities, including precious woods such as mahogany. Environmental historian Richard Grove and others have shown how this debt driven extraction accelerated deforestation and entrenched economic dependency.

In both islands, forests that might have supported long term local industries and ecological resilience were sacrificed to meet the demands of foreign creditors and distant markets.

Who Gained and Who Lost

Chart 2 – Jamaica’s Share of British Mahogany Imports (%) (1724–1790)

If you stood in a London showroom in the late eighteenth century, the benefits of this trade would have seemed obvious.

Mahogany underpinned a thriving furniture industry, furnished the homes of the wealthy, and helped shape an image of British taste and refinement. Shipbuilders valued its durability for naval and merchant vessels. Merchants, shipowners, and investors profited at every stage of the process.

On the Caribbean side of the equation the picture looked very different.

The value of the timber flowed outward. Local economies saw little structural development from this steady extraction. Enslaved laborers endured the backbreaking work of felling, hauling, and loading vast logs without any share in the profits. Even free people of color who participated in parts of the trade operated inside a system that channeled the greatest returns to Britain and other European centers.

Postcolonial economist Walter Rodney described this pattern as a central mechanism of underdevelopment. Resources are taken from a region without equivalent reinvestment, leaving behind economies that are structurally weak, dependent, and vulnerable. The story of mahogany in Jamaica and Haiti follows this pattern with painful clarity.

Why we Rarely Hear This Story

Sugar, coffee, and bananas dominate the usual narrative of Caribbean economic history. Timber, and mahogany in particular, often appears only in passing or not at all.

This absence matters. It narrows how Caribbean history is understood. When resource extraction is presented mainly through plantation agriculture, we miss how deeply colonial economies reached into forests, mountains, and coastal ecosystems.

Historian Verene Shepherd and others have argued that colonial narratives often highlighted commodities that supported a certain image of the plantation system while minimizing industries that revealed a broader and more flexible web of exploitation. Timber was essential for ships, buildings, and luxury goods, yet its role in the exploitation of Caribbean environments and people has remained relatively obscure in public memory and in many school curricula.

That silence is itself part of the legacy of empire.

A Jamaican Childhood in the Long Shadow of Mahogany

For me this history is not just an intellectual interest. It connects directly to my own life.

My Jamaican family was poor. Not simply living on a tight budget but living with real and constant deprivation. We counted every dollar. We stretched every meal. We watched possibilities slip away because the entry costs were always out of reach.

Many of my friends lived the same way. My grandparents had lived that way for most of their lives. At the time it felt like an unfortunate normal, something we simply had to endure.

Only later, as I began to study the economic history of Jamaica and Haiti, did I start to see those personal experiences as links in a much longer chain. When mahogany and other resources were stripped from our landscapes and shipped abroad, the profits were not used to build broad based prosperity at home. They built estates, institutions, and industries elsewhere.

So, when I ask what my ancestors might have built if the wealth of their forests had been harnessed for their benefit, I am not indulging in fantasy. I am asking a question that belongs at the center of any honest conversation about global inequality.

Too often the modern poverty of countries like Jamaica and Haiti is treated as though it sprang from nowhere or from purely internal failures. In truth it is deeply connected to histories of extraction in which mahogany played a significant role.

The Past is Not Finished Business

People sometimes talk about the past as if it lived only in museums or in carefully bound history texts. Yet history is also present in very concrete ways.

It appears in under-resourced schools and hospitals. It appears in eroded hillsides where forests once stabilized soil and climate. It appears in national budgets shaped by old debts and unequal trading relationships.

The underdevelopment that I saw growing up was not a random misfortune. It was part of a pattern that stretches back to the colonial period, when land and labor were organized around the enrichment of distant powers. Mahogany is one thread in that pattern and following that thread helps us see how the past has been carried into the present.

Why this story still matters

The journey of mahogany from Caribbean forests to British drawing rooms is about far more than beautiful furniture.

It is about power, about who gets to decide how land and labor are used. It is about wealth, about where profits accumulate and where they do not. It is about memory, about whose experiences are recorded and whose are omitted.

Today Jamaica and Haiti are still labeled developing nations. Policy makers and commentators discuss their challenges in terms of governance, crime, education, and external shocks. All of those factors matter. But any analysis that ignores centuries of structured resource extraction is incomplete.

To tell the story of mahogany honestly is to restore part of what has been missing from that wider conversation. It helps explain how magnificent paneling in English houses is connected to exhausted forests and intergenerational poverty in the Caribbean.

Reclaiming the narrative

Mahogany’s legacy in Britain is easy to see. It sits in antiques showrooms and museum galleries, in paneled libraries and sweeping staircases, polished and preserved as part of the nation’s cultural inheritance. The wood is admired for its craftsmanship and beauty, rarely for the conditions under which it was obtained or the worlds it passed through before reaching those rooms.

Its legacy in Jamaica and Haiti is far harder to recognize, precisely because it is not displayed. It survives in altered landscapes, in hillsides where forests once stood thick and continuous, in river systems reshaped by erosion, and in rural interiors stripped of resources that might have supported lasting local industries. It also lives in economies that exported immense value yet retained little of it, leaving behind patterns of poverty and dependency that have proven remarkably durable.

Restoring this history is not simply an academic exercise or a matter of adding footnotes to the past. It is a step toward historical justice. By naming the exploitation, tracing the movement of wealth from Caribbean forests to British drawing rooms, and linking those processes to present economic realities, we begin to confront what was taken and how its absence continues to be felt.

For me, reflecting on mahogany’s story is inseparable from reflecting on my own life and on the lives of those who came before me. It is an act of remembrance and of responsibility. We cannot regrow every tree that was felled, nor can we rewrite the ledgers that recorded extraction while erasing human cost. But we can refuse the silence that has long surrounded this trade. We can insist that these histories be told clearly, honestly, and widely.

Only then can new chapters be written on a foundation of recognition rather than erasure. Only then can the forests and communities that remain be valued not merely as reservoirs of exportable resources, but as places with their own histories, their own dignity, and their own right to thrive.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Nyan Reynolds is a U.S. Army veteran and published author whose novels and cultural works draw from his Jamaican heritage, military service, and life experiences. His writing blends storytelling, resilience, and heritage to inspire readers.  

The Caribbean Is Growing — But Only One Country Is Changing The Game

By NAN Business Editor

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Fri. Jan. 23, 2026: The Caribbean is entering a new growth cycle, according to the latest regional forecasts from the World Bank. After years of uneven recovery, several economies are projected to expand through 2026 and 2027. Yet, a closer look at the data reveals a striking imbalance: while growth is spreading across the region, only one country is fundamentally reshaping the Caribbean’s economic trajectory: Guyana.

A boat the Demerara river in Georgetown, Guyana (Photo by JOAQUIN SARMIENTO/AFP via Getty Images)

World Bank projections place Guyana far ahead of its regional peers, driven almost entirely by offshore oil production. The country’s economic expansion has pushed regional averages upward, masking far more modest growth elsewhere. In effect, Guyana is not just growing faster — it is redefining what “Caribbean growth” means in global economic conversations.

But headline growth tells only part of the story.

Despite record GDP expansion, Guyana continues to face deep structural challenges. Poverty levels remain above 50 percent, highlighting a critical disconnect between national output and household prosperity. This tension — extraordinary growth alongside persistent deprivation — is emerging as one of the most consequential development questions in the Caribbean today.

Elsewhere in the region, growth remains steady but constrained. Tourism-dependent economies are stabilizing, helped by improved airlift and demand from North America and Europe. Financial services hubs continue to show resilience, while commodity-linked states benefit modestly from higher global prices. Yet none of these economies approach the scale or speed of Guyana’s expansion.

This divergence matters.

For policymakers, it raises difficult questions about regional integration and economic planning. For investors, it reframes how opportunity should be assessed. The Caribbean is no longer moving as a single growth story. It is becoming a region of sharply differentiated trajectories, where sector exposure and policy execution matter more than geography alone.

GUYANA

Guyana’s experience underscores both the promise and the peril of rapid expansion. Oil revenues have the potential to fund transformative investments in infrastructure, healthcare, education, and diversification. At the same time, without disciplined fiscal management and long-term planning, resource-driven growth risks entrenching inequality rather than alleviating it.

That balance — between extraction and inclusion — will define Guyana’s next decade.

“The risk for the Caribbean is mistaking growth for transformation,” said Felicia J. Persaud, CEO of Invest Caribbean. “Guyana’s numbers are extraordinary, but the real test is whether that growth is converted into diversified economic activity, human capital development and opportunities that reach beyond a narrow slice of the economy.”

The World Bank’s projections suggest that while other Caribbean economies are improving, none are positioned to drive regional performance in the same way. This creates a new regional dynamic: Caribbean growth is increasingly concentrated, not collective.

For smaller states, the challenge is staying competitive in a landscape shaped by one dominant outlier. For development partners and lenders, it complicates regional policy approaches that assume uniform conditions. And for investors, it demands sharper analysis — distinguishing between cyclical recovery and structural change.

Growth, after all, is not inherently transformative. It must be managed, distributed, and reinvested.

Guyana’s rise has altered the Caribbean’s economic narrative. The next chapter will be written not by oil alone, but by choices — about governance, diversification, and inclusion. Whether the country becomes a long-term regional anchor or a cautionary tale will depend on how effectively today’s gains are translated into tomorrow’s resilience.

One thing is already clear: the Caribbean is growing again. But only one country is truly changing the game — and the consequences will be felt well beyond its borders.

Top Forecasted Caribbean Economies

Ranked by GDP Growth (Highest → Lowest)

RankCountry2026 Growth (%)2027 Growth (%)World Bank–Cited Drivers1Guyana19.621.9Oil production, investment2Dominican Republic4.54.5Tourism, domestic demand3Suriname3.53.7Investment recovery4Jamaica-2.33.7Post-contraction rebound5Grenada3.33.0Tourism, services6Dominica3.02.9Public investment, tourism7St. Vincent & the Grenadines2.92.7Tourism, reconstruction8Trinidad & Tobago0.32.5Energy sector recovery9Haiti2.02.5Fragile stabilization10St. Lucia2.02.1Tourism recovery11Barbados2.02.0Tourism-led stabilization12Belize2.42.2Agriculture, tourism13Bahamas2.11.8Tourism normalization

RELATED: Oil-Rich CARICOM Nation Guyana Still Faces High Poverty Levels, Data Shows

Caribbean Roots Shine As Delroy Lindo Earns First Oscar Nomination For Sinners

By NAN ET EDITOR

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Fri. Jan. 23, 2026: After decades of commanding performances that shaped modern Black cinema, Caribbean roots, British-born actor Delroy Lindo has finally crossed a milestone many believe was long overdue: his first Academy Award nomination.

British Caribbean actor Delroy Lindo attends the 83rd annual Golden Globe Awards at the Beverly Hilton hotel in Beverly Hills, California, on January 11, 2026. (Photo by Michael Tran / AFP via Getty Images) /

The London-born, Jamaican-rooted actor, 73, earned a Best Supporting Actor nomination at the 98th Academy Awards for his role as Delta Slim in Sinners, the genre-blending vampire thriller directed by Ryan Coogler. The nod marks a long-awaited recognition for an artist whose career has been consistently lauded by critics, yet repeatedly overlooked by awards bodies.

Delroy Lindo, l., Ryan Coogler (C) and cast and crew of “Sinners” accept the Cinematic and Box Office Achievement award onstage during the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards at The Beverly Hilton on January 11, 2026 in Beverly Hills, California. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/CBS via Getty Images)

For Caribbean audiences and the global diaspora, Lindo’s nomination resonates far beyond Hollywood. Born in Lewisham, London, to Jamaican parents who were part of the Windrush generation, Lindo’s life mirrors a transatlantic Caribbean journey – moving from the UK to Canada as a teenager, then to the United States, where he trained at the American Conservatory Theater and forged a career that would span stage, film, and television.

His mother was a nurse who struggled as an outsider in England but instilled a strong sense of heritage in her son, while his father held various jobs, contributing to the family’s cultural background. Lindo has said in the past that he felt like an outsider as the only Black child in his school, but was inspired to act after a school play. He deeply connects with his Jamaican roots, viewing his parents’ emphasis on presentation as a key part of his heritage, a theme echoed in his work.

Delroy Lindo accepts Best Supporting Actor for “Sinners” onstage during the 2026 Annual Movies for Grownups Awards with AARP at Beverly Wilshire, A Four Seasons Hotel on January 10, 2026 in Beverly Hills, California. (Photo by Michael Kovac/Getty Images for AARP)

Lindo has previously found himself in awards-season conversations for iconic roles, including West Indian Archie in Spike Lee’s Malcolm X and his searing performance in Da 5 Bloods. But when nominations failed to materialize, he deliberately resisted expectation. “I try not to buy into that,” he told Entertainment Weekly last year, reflecting on past snubs. Still, he admitted that the absence of recognition was painful. “I was profoundly disappointed, frankly.”

That disappointment did not derail him. Instead, Lindo kept working – on his own terms.

In Sinners, he delivers a performance critics describe as hypnotic. Playing Delta Slim, a Mississippi bluesman whose music anchors a juke joint that becomes the target of supernatural forces, Lindo brings gravitas, restraint, and lived-in wisdom to the screen. Coogler has praised the performance as “incredible,” noting what Lindo brought to the role every single day on set.

Audiences agreed. Sinners boasts a 97% critical rating and 96% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes, and its global box office haul of approximately $368 million made it one of the year’s most successful original films. The movie shattered awards records with 16 Oscar nominations, becoming the most-nominated film in Academy history.

For Lindo, the recognition arrives not as validation, but as affirmation. “To have been working as an actor for the length of time that I have… the fact that audiences still apparently find what I’m doing interesting – that’s not a given,” he said. “I don’t take any of it for granted.”

His Caribbean roots continue to inform his creative direction. Lindo has long spoken about the influence of his Jamaican heritage and the Windrush experience, which he is now exploring in a forthcoming memoir scheduled for release in 2027. He is also developing and directing a feature film set in Jamaica’s Blue Mountains, centered on spirituality, healing, and the power of community – themes deeply rooted in Caribbean culture.

Lindo exclusively told E! News that his son Damiri was the one to tell him he received his first-ever Oscar nomination for the 2026 ceremony. “I was in bed,” he recalled to E!. “My phone rang. It was my son. I picked it up and said, ‘Hey man,’ and he said, ‘Dad, dad, you got it. You got that s–t.’” 

“It means the world because he’s seen it all,” Lindo was quoted as saying. “He’s seen it away from the red carpet. He’s seen both sides of it. So, along with my wife, they have the internal and the external perspective on this journey. It felt completely right on to receive this news from my son.”

Lindo  faces off against Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein), Stellan Skarsgård (Sentimental Value), Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) and Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) in his category.

But, however, it turns out, Lindo told E!: “It’s just incredibly joyful and affirming. Affirming that audiences inside and outside of the industry have responded to this work so fully, and the fact that the work has touched people, I believe, in the depth of their humanity. I don’t have the words to explain how gratifying and affirming that feels. It’s extraordinary.”

For many in the Caribbean diaspora, the moment already carries meaning: a son of Jamaican immigrants, whose artistry endured decades of industry blind spots, finally standing where history says he always belonged.

The Academy Awards, hosted by Conan O’Brien, air Sunday, March 15, 2026, on ABC.

RELATED: Teyana Taylor Makes Golden Globe History As Second Caribbean-Rooted Black Winner

Who Speaks After Babatunde: The Work That Did Not End

By Nyan Reynolds

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Thurs. Jan. 22, 2026: “Unno nuh tired fi pressure poor people? Well, Babatunde have a message fi you.” Those words, spoken by Babatunde, open the song ‘Anytime,’ by Bounty Killer, setting the tone for a message that confronts power, accountability, and social pressure head on.

Former Jamaican Radio Host Winston Babatunde Witter.

When I was younger, there was a Jamaican man whose voice carried a kind of authority that could not be ignored. It was not authority rooted in position or power, but authority shaped by conviction. He called himself Babatunde, a name that sounded exactly like what he represented. Strength. Presence. Purpose. His given name was Winston “Babatunde” Witter, but to the people who tuned in daily, Babatunde was far more than a radio host. He was a conscience that refused to sleep.

Babatunde hosted a daily talk show in Jamaica at a time when speaking openly about social conditions was not without consequence. He addressed issues that made those in power uncomfortable. Not because discomfort was the goal, but because truth, when spoken plainly, has a way of disrupting comfort. In many ways, he was the voice for the voiceless. When others were silent out of fear of social isolation, political retaliation, or threats to life and property, he chose to speak. He was the exception in moments when exceptions mattered.

His voice was raspy, weathered, and unmistakable. It was the kind of voice that demanded attention even before the message landed. When Babatunde spoke, people listened, not because they were entertained, but because they were being addressed. He sounded like a parent who was not afraid to scold you when you were wrong, but who cared deeply about teaching you how to do better. There was discipline in his words, but also love. Correction without contempt. Urgency without chaos.

As the years have passed, I find myself thinking often about men like him. About what it means to stand up consistently for what is right. About what happens to a society when those voices begin to disappear. History has taught us repeatedly that progress is not self sustaining. It requires vigilance. The moment we take our foot off the pedal, momentum does not simply slow. It begins to erode. Like an engine that has lost steam, the loss may not feel immediate, but over time the power fades. Eventually, the significance of the mission becomes harder to connect to the urgency that once drove it.

Today, as I look around and listen within our society, I sit with uncomfortable questions. Where are the voices for the homeless. Where are the voices for the underserved. Where are the voices for starving children. Where are the voices for those who wake up each morning on concrete and call the streets home. Who is willing to speak for them without condition, without branding, without expectation of applause.

I ask these questions not as an outsider, but as someone who has lived between worlds. I was educated here. I have lived here for many years. I understand the language of progress, of opportunity, of achievement. I also understand how easily those narratives can obscure what remains unresolved. As a writer, I find myself constantly questioning where we are today and whether we have confused improvement with completion.

There is a growing tendency in our society to declare the race over. We are told that progress has been made, therefore urgency is no longer required. That we no longer need voices that push, challenge, or unsettle. That running slower is acceptable because we will still cross the finish line. But life does not work that way. When effort slows, problems do not disappear. They accumulate. Neglect compounds quietly until it becomes impossible to ignore.

I fear that many of the glaring issues we see today are the result of this slow accumulation. Not because people stopped caring entirely, but because they were convinced that caring loudly was no longer necessary. That silence could now be mistaken for peace. That comfort was evidence of justice.

One of the most dangerous narratives of our time is the belief that social issues are now purely individual problems rather than collective responsibilities. Poverty is framed as a personal failure. Homelessness is treated as a choice. Inequality is dismissed as outdated rhetoric. These conclusions are rarely reached through deep engagement. They are the product of surface level observation. And surface level observation has never been sufficient to diagnose systemic reality.

Babatunde did not operate at the surface. He walked within communities. He listened to people whose stories rarely made headlines. He understood that lived experience reveals truths statistics alone cannot capture. When he sensed something was wrong, he did not wait for validation from institutions or approval from those in power. He trusted his discernment. He picked up the microphone and said plainly that something was wrong.

There is a difference between being politically charged and being substantively grounded. Some voices are loud but empty, fueled more by outrage than understanding. Others speak with restraint, but their words carry weight because they are informed by observation, empathy, and accountability. Babatunde belonged to the latter. He was not interested in spectacle. He was interested in responsibility.

He inspired people to speak. To call into radio shows and share their lived realities. To pick up pens and pencils and name what mattered. He reminded them that silence was not neutrality. Silence was often complicity. Through his work, people learned that using one’s voice was not about attention, but about stewardship.

Today, writers, broadcasters, and communicators face a different kind of resistance. Not always direct threats, but dismissal. There is a subtle pressure to move on, to stop asking difficult questions, to accept that certain conversations are no longer necessary. People are quick to say that equality exists everywhere now. That freedom has been achieved. That social issues are relics of the past. These statements are often delivered with confidence, as if repetition alone makes them true.

But confidence without examination is not wisdom. If one is willing to dig beneath the surface, to listen carefully, to observe honestly, it becomes clear that the race is far from over. Progress has occurred, yes, but progress does not negate responsibility. It increases it. The more we know, the more accountable we become.

The lesson from Babatunde’s life is not that everyone must shout. It is that everyone must be willing to speak when substance demands it. There is a difference between noise and conviction. Between performance and purpose. He understood that moral clarity requires restraint as much as it requires courage.

This article is not written to romanticize the past. It is written to acknowledge legacy. To give credit to a man who carried the voice of the people with integrity. Winston Witter took his bow years ago, but his absence leaves a question that time alone cannot answer.

Where do we go from here.

Because voices like his do not automatically replace themselves. They must be taken up intentionally. They must be carried by individuals willing to listen deeply, speak carefully, and act courageously even when it is inconvenient. The mantle does not disappear when a life ends. It waits.

Time has a way of making people forget. That is not cruelty. It is human nature. But forgetting does not erase responsibility. If anything, it makes remembrance an act of leadership. To remember voices like Babatunde is to recommit to the values they embodied. Moral consistency. Intellectual honesty. Courage rooted in care.

We live in an era saturated with communication and yet, it is starving for conscience. Platforms are abundant, but conviction is scarce. Everyone has a microphone, but few are willing to use it responsibly. Babatunde reminds us that voice without purpose is just sound. Purpose without voice is unfinished work.

The question before us is not whether society needs voices for the voiceless. The evidence answers that clearly. The question is whether we are willing to become them. Not for recognition. Not for legacy. But because silence has consequences.

The race continues. The work remains. The voice of the core is still needed.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Nyan Reynolds is a U.S. Army veteran and published author whose novels and cultural works draw from his Jamaican heritage, military service and life experiences. His writing blends storytelling, resilience and heritage to inspire readers.  

The Caribbean’s Middle Class Is Being Built —And Broken — At The Same Time

By NAN Business Editor

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Fri. Jan. 22, 2026: The Caribbean is doing two contradictory things at once: expanding its middle class while quietly undermining it.

People purchase fruit from a stand on November 05, 2025, in Port of Spain, Trinidad and Tobago. Reports indicate that the United States military is expanding its presence in the Caribbean as speculation continues about possible strikes against targets inside Venezuela. The Port of Spain is approximately 7 miles from the coast of Venezuela at its closest point (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

That paradox sits at the heart of the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)’s latest edition of the Caribbean Economics Quarterly, “How Are External Forces Impacting Trade, Growth, and Investment in the Caribbean?,” which examines how taxes, social spending, and public policy shape income distribution across the region.

The report’s core finding is deceptively simple: government intervention matters — but it is no longer enough.

According to the IDB, fiscal policy in the Caribbean has historically reduced poverty and inequality, but its impact is weakening. The study states plainly that “fiscal policy continues to play a significant role in reducing inequality and poverty”, yet warns that “the redistributive power of the state has diminished over time.”

That erosion is where the middle class becomes vulnerable.

Building the Middle Class – On Paper

Across much of the Caribbean, social transfers, public-sector employment, and subsidized services have helped lift millions out of poverty. Education access has improved. Health outcomes have stabilized. Basic consumption has expanded. In technical terms, the IDB’s authors note that “market income inequality in the Caribbean is high, but disposable income inequality is substantially lower after taxes and transfers.” That gap is the space where governments have historically operated – using redistribution to create stability.

This is how the Caribbean middle class was built: not through private-sector wage growth alone, but through state buffering. But buffers are only effective if they expand with costs. And that is where the system is cracking.

Breaking the Middle Class – In Reality

The report flags a growing disconnect between income security and cost-of-living pressure. While households may technically remain above the poverty line, they are increasingly exposed to shocks. The IDB cautions that “many households that are not poor remain highly vulnerable to falling back into poverty.” This vulnerability is most pronounced among middle-income earners who depend on fixed wages while absorbing rising food prices, housing costs, energy bills, and transport expenses.

In other words: the middle class exists – but it is fragile.

Tourism-dependent economies are especially exposed. The report highlights that employment-linked income is sensitive to external shocks, noting that “household income volatility remains a key risk factor, particularly in tourism-based economies.” That volatility turns the middle class into a revolving door rather than a destination.

The Policy Trap

Here is the structural problem the IDB surfaces, without spelling it out bluntly: Caribbean governments are being asked to do more redistribution with fewer resources.

Public debt is high. Fiscal space is tight. Social spending is increasingly targeted toward the poorest — leaving the middle class paying taxes without proportional protection. The study observes that “tax systems in the Caribbean rely heavily on indirect taxation,” which disproportionately affects middle-income households through consumption taxes rather than wealth or income taxes.

This creates a squeeze:

The poor receive targeted support;
The wealthy insulate themselves.
The middle absorbs the shock;
The result is political tension, declining trust, and social stagnation.

What the IDB Is Really Saying

Stripped of technical language, the IDB’s message is clear: redistribution alone cannot sustain a middle class without growth, productivity, and wage expansion. The report emphasizes that fiscal tools must be paired with labor market reform, productivity gains, and economic diversification, warning that “without sustained growth, redistribution becomes increasingly constrained.”

That is the quiet warning policymakers cannot afford to ignore.

The Takeaway

The Caribbean middle class is not disappearing – but it is thinning. It is being built statistically, through transfers and policy design, while being broken structurally by cost pressures, weak wage growth, and economic volatility.

The IDB’s CEQ report does not call this a crisis. But the data points in that direction. A middle class that cannot absorb shocks is not a middle class — it is a pause between poverty spells.

And that is the business story Caribbean leaders now have to confront.

RELATED: Oil-Rich CARICOM Nation Guyana Still Faces High Poverty Levels, Data Shows

CARICOM’s Animal Farm? – Why The Caribbean Is United in Rhetoric, Divided In Reality

By Keith Bernard

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Weds. Jan. 21, 2026: For years, Caribbean leaders have insisted that CARICOM is a unified bloc – one region, one people, one destiny. Yet the region continues to function less like a cohesive community and more like a heterogeneous animal farm, where each member state is a different creature with its own instincts, vulnerabilities, and survival strategies.

An aerial view shows the US SLake Erie (front), a US Navy Ticonderoga-class guided-missile cruiser, and the USS Iwo Jima, a US Navy Wasp-class amphibious assault ship, docked at the port of Ponce, Puerto Rico, on January 15, 2026. (Photo by Ricardo ARDUENGO / AFP via Getty Images)

The recent decision by the United States to pause immigrant visa processing for selected CARICOM states is a perfect illustration of this unevenness. On a truly homogeneous farm, external actors would treat all animals the same. But Washington’s selective restrictions exposed the uncomfortable truth: some CARICOM members are seen as low‑risk partners, others as high‑risk; some are treated with diplomatic leniency, others with suspicion.

The region’s response was equally fragmented – some governments protested loudly, others remained silent, and a few quietly calculated how the pause might shift migration flows in their favor. A homogeneous bloc would have spoken with one voice; instead, each animal reacted according to its own fears and interests.

These disparities run deeper than immigration policy. They shape trade negotiations, climate diplomacy, security cooperation, and even the pace of economic reform. Larger economies push for liberalization that suits their scale; smaller ones cling to protective measures to avoid being trampled. Resource‑rich states speak confidently about regional energy security, while import‑dependent ones worry about exposure. Political stability varies widely, as do fiscal capacities and institutional strength. To pretend these differences do not exist is to ignore the very anatomy of the farm.

This is why CARICOM so often moves in fits and starts. A homogeneous animal farm could march in one direction because its creatures share the same instincts. But a heterogeneous one pulls in multiple directions, each animal tugging toward its own feeding trough. Integration becomes less about unity and more about managing asymmetry – balancing the ambitions of the strong with the anxieties of the weak.

None of this means CARICOM is unworkable. It simply means the region must abandon the comforting fiction of uniformity. Real progress requires acknowledging the heterogeneity of the farm: different capacities, different vulnerabilities, different political economies. Only then can institutions be designed to reflect reality rather than rhetoric.

Until that honesty emerges, CARICOM will continue to resemble Orwell’s farm – full of noble slogans, but governed by the quiet truth that some animals are always more equal than others.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Keith Bernard is a Guyanese-born, NYC-based analyst and a frequent contributor to News Americas. 

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