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Fantan Mojah

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Guyana Oil Revenue In 2025 Was A Drop In The Bucket

By C. Kenrick Hunte

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Tues. July 14, 2026: The 2025 Combined Financial Report for the Guyana oil consortium (Exxon, Hess/ Chevron, and CNOOC) show that total revenue is US$17.2 Billion; and the total profit is US$12.1 Billion. Given that profits are to be shared equally between the companies and Guyana, it is clear that Guyana and the companies should each receive US$6.1 Billion. Additionally, with royalties of 2 percent of total revenue, which works out to US$344.3 Million, this means that Guyana total take home is US$6.4 Billion. However, noting that Guyana pays the taxes from its share for the consortium, this amount (US$2.3 Billion) is subtracted from Guyana’s share of benefits (Profits, and Royalties); and it is added to the consortium’s benefits (profits and taxes paid by Guyana). Given these distributional specifications, the total combined benefit for the oil consortium is US$8.4 Billion, or 66.9% of the total Benefits (US$12.4 Billion), compared with US$4.1 Billion (33.1%) for Guyana (Table below).

It should also be stated that this distribution of total benefits of US$ 4.1 Billion for Guyana (33.1% of total benefits of US$12.5 Billion) is overstated. This is because Guyana’s profit is not US$6.1 Billion, but only US$2.1Billion in 2025 (Ram: https://kaieteurnewsonline.com/2026/06/28/part-1-six-to-one-is-not-50-50/). Furthermore, there are additional costs, including amounts for insurance, loss of fishermen’s income, and environmental balance; but the budgets for these cost categories are unknown. When the tax payment for the oil consortium and other cost adjustments are included, along with the other costs, Guyana’s benefit in real terms is reduced from US$4.1 Billion to no more than US$100 Million (Table below).

Another troubling outcome of this arrangement is that the taxes (US$2.3 Billion) paid by Guyana is greater than the profits that Guyana receives (US$2.1Billion). What is also disconcerting with this arrangement is the fact that Guyana’s share of total benefits (US$100 Million) is only 1% of the total benefits (US$12.5 Billion), when compared with the US$12.3 Billion that is captured by the company. Consequently, Guyana’s share of oil revenue in 2025 is no more than a drop of oil in a US$17.2 Billion Revenue Bucket. The underlying cause for this outcome is not only the tax payment made by Guyana for the company; but the cost recovery formula which inflates the average cost of a barrel of oil and reduces the profit that Guyana receives. This issue will be presented in a subsequent letter, where the cost will be analyzed in conjunction with the benefits.

EDITOR’S NOTE: C. Kenrick Hunte is an executive of the Oil and Gas Governance Network (OGGN) Other executive members include Darsh Khusial and Joe Persaud.

The Partnership Dividend: How Small States Can Turn Strategic Cooperation Into Economic Power

By Dr. Isaac Newton

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Mon. July 13, 2026: For much of modern economic history, nations have measured their potential by what they possess: land, population, minerals, financial resources, and industrial capacity. That approach explains part of economic success, but it does not fully explain why some small states with limited natural resources have achieved remarkable levels of prosperity while others with greater resources have struggled. The defining advantage of the twenty-first century will increasingly lie in a nation’s ability to build trust, develop talent, strengthen institutions, and form strategic partnerships. For small states navigating a world of geopolitical uncertainty, climate vulnerability, and intense economic competition, partnership itself has become a form of capital.

This article introduces The Partnership Dividend Framework, a development model built on a simple premise: sovereign nations can generate additional economic, diplomatic, and social value when they coordinate their strengths while preserving their political independence. The Partnership Dividend represents the measurable gains created when countries transform cooperation into investment opportunities, shared innovation, stronger institutions, and expanded global influence. It does not replace traditional economic principles. Incentives, entrepreneurship, capital formation, and competitive markets remain essential. It expands the conversation by recognizing that strategic relationships can also produce economic value.

The framework rests on five forms of national capital. Institutional Capital creates confidence through effective governance, transparency, and the rule of law. Human Capital develops the skills, health, and leadership capacity of citizens. Diplomatic Capital uses international relationships to open markets, attract investment, and create influence. Innovation Capital strengthens entrepreneurship, technology, and knowledge creation. Natural Capital protects environmental assets while building climate resilience. When these forms of capital are developed together, strategic partnerships multiply their impact.

The Organization of Eastern Caribbean States offers a compelling opportunity to explore this framework in practice. Small states often face similar challenges: limited domestic markets, high vulnerability to external shocks, and constrained negotiating power. Yet these same characteristics create incentives for deeper strategic coordination. The OECS can demonstrate how sovereign nations can preserve their individual identities while creating shared advantages through coordinated investment promotion, digital transformation, climate adaptation, research partnerships, workforce development, and diplomatic cooperation. The objective is not to weaken sovereignty. The objective is to make sovereignty more effective in a complex global environment.

The Partnership Dividend also requires discipline. Cooperation without accountability can create inefficiency. Investment without strong institutions can create dependency. Growth without environmental responsibility can undermine future generations. Sustainable development requires a balance between market opportunity and public responsibility. Successful small states will combine entrepreneurial energy with credible institutions, foreign investment with national priorities, and global engagement with local empowerment.

The greatest economic discoveries in history have often come from recognizing value where others saw limitations. The next opportunity for small states lies in recognizing that their greatest asset may not be beneath their soil but between their institutions. Trust can become capital. Diplomacy can become enterprise. Cooperation can become competitiveness. The Partnership Dividend Framework offers a pathway for small states to transform strategic relationships into sustainable prosperity while protecting sovereignty, strengthening resilience, and creating opportunities for generations yet to come.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Dr. Isaac Newton is a leadership strategist, governance scholar, and development practitioner. Educated at the University of the Southern Caribbean, Oakwood University, Princeton, Columbia, and Harvard, he writes on leadership, diplomacy, governance, and sustainable development. He is the author of Fix It Preacher, Face Life Squarely, and Intimate Intimacy; coauthor of Steps to Good Governance and Daring to Hope; and coauthor of the forthcoming When Nations Kneel and The Belief Code.

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